Optimus Prime wrote:
Is there a certain "criteria" that a player should try to match before risking himself by making a bold move against another player?
I ask only because I've tried many different things and none of them ever seem to be any better than each other.
This is an interesting question, definitely deserves exploration and maybe even it's own thread. I can't tell you how many times I've been frustrated, when trying to wipe out an opponent with an overwhleming majority of armies, and then lose because of poor dice e.g. I couldn't kill an opponent who had 4 countries, 11 on 2 and 1 on the other 2, with 46 armies.
But extrememly poor dice aside, I have a general idea of how much I feel is enough to wipe out an opponent, if most of the countries have 1 or 2 armies on each territory, I generally like to do it with double +3 (armies) my opponents force. For territiories with concentrated forces, I gamble on about 1.5 times the number of armies. So as an example, if my opponent holds Oceania, how many armies do I need on Siam to take it over, let's say he has 20 on Indonesia and 1 on each on the other territories, I'd say 6 (double) +3 for his 1 fort territories and 30 (20*1.5) for Indonesia, so basically, I'd say an ideal number of armies on Siam would be 39. Though honestly, I'd go with less but wouldn't be as disappointed if I failed.
Of course, there are many other intriguing factors in your question, I've only touched on one, other considerations would include cards, strength of other opponents, your own position, fort types etc... People, please feel free...