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Overall statsBlinkadyblink wrote:http://www.conquerclub.com/forum/viewto ... =59&t=5655
Get Dice Analyzer. It will track how (un)lucky your dice are and compare it to how they should be. Wait until you've recorded at least a few thousand rolls, and then, if you still think the dice suck, you can complain.
then assault less and defend more...RADAGA wrote:the defence have an unnatural advantage
TheSaxlad wrote:The Dice suck a lot of the time.
And if they dont suck then they blow.
He had 7 troops on Bastgne prior to this.2009-01-29 14:27:27 - jofra receives 1 troops for holding Luxembourg
2009-01-29 14:27:27 - jofra receives 3 troops for 9 regions
2009-01-29 14:27:35 - jofra cashed in a group of Vlaams, Vlaams Ardennen, and Flevoland worth 6 troops
2009-01-29 14:27:49 - jofra deployed 10 troops on Bastogne
2009-01-29 14:27:57 - jofra assaulted Liège from Bastogne and conquered it from RADAGA
2009-01-29 14:28:05 - jofra assaulted Wallon from Liège and conquered it from RADAGA
2009-01-29 14:28:17 - jofra reinforced Bastogne with 8 troops from Liège
2009-01-29 14:28:24 - jofra gets spoils
You seem to have just contradicted yourself.RADAGA wrote:THIS DOES NOT HAPPEN, NOT IN TRUE RANDOM SYSTEMS! Happens here, daily.
Actually, I was speaking to Sasha Grey who cited "3 or 4" games as evidence that the dice were screwed up. Seeing as how you have actual statistics, yes, of course you can complain. You lost 338 rolls when really you should only have lost 314, a total loss of 24 rolls (of course, you also won 2 extra rolls that, had the dice been perfectly even, you wouldn't have.) I think that, while this certainly proves that the dice are unequal, it doesn't prove that they're not random. You've merely had bad luck which happens often with random numbers.RADAGA wrote:Overall statsBlinkadyblink wrote:http://www.conquerclub.com/forum/viewto ... =59&t=5655
Get Dice Analyzer. It will track how (un)lucky your dice are and compare it to how they should be. Wait until you've recorded at least a few thousand rolls, and then, if you still think the dice suck, you can complain.
Attacker threw 5600 dice.
Defender threw 3037 dice.
3v2 █████████████████████████ 400 / 334 / 338 (37.31% / 31.16% / 31.53%) (37.17% / 33.58% / 29.26%)
Like that? Can I complain, then? Right.. after over 8.600 dice being thrown, it is not even, the defence have an unnatural advantage, actuall extra 10% (29,26% would be 303 double defence). I managed to get above cook again, even with the overall bad rolls, due to my poor strategies, but it is not easy, I can say....
Blink, this is no time for sense and rationale. This thread is emotion plus dude, you can't introduce scientific fact, you have to hook onto some wild idea and just run with it.Blinkadyblink wrote:Actually, I was speaking to Sasha Grey who cited "3 or 4" games as evidence that the dice were screwed up. Seeing as how you have actual statistics, yes, of course you can complain. You lost 338 rolls when really you should only have lost 314, a total loss of 24 rolls (of course, you also won 2 extra rolls that, had the dice been perfectly even, you wouldn't have.) I think that, while this certainly proves that the dice are unequal, it doesn't prove that they're not random. You've merely had bad luck which happens often with random numbers.RADAGA wrote:Overall statsBlinkadyblink wrote:http://www.conquerclub.com/forum/viewto ... =59&t=5655
Get Dice Analyzer. It will track how (un)lucky your dice are and compare it to how they should be. Wait until you've recorded at least a few thousand rolls, and then, if you still think the dice suck, you can complain.
Attacker threw 5600 dice.
Defender threw 3037 dice.
3v2 █████████████████████████ 400 / 334 / 338 (37.31% / 31.16% / 31.53%) (37.17% / 33.58% / 29.26%)
Like that? Can I complain, then? Right.. after over 8.600 dice being thrown, it is not even, the defence have an unnatural advantage, actuall extra 10% (29,26% would be 303 double defence). I managed to get above cook again, even with the overall bad rolls, due to my poor strategies, but it is not easy, I can say....
Not necessarily...if this isn't a "true random system".Timminz wrote:You seem to have just contradicted yourself.RADAGA wrote:THIS DOES NOT HAPPEN, NOT IN TRUE RANDOM SYSTEMS! Happens here, daily.
I know. It's a bad habit of mine, and I really am trying to break it, but sometimes I just can't resist the occasional fact.e_i_pi wrote: Blink, this is no time for sense and rationale. This thread is emotion plus dude, you can't introduce scientific fact, you have to hook onto some wild idea and just run with it.
Bingo...Woodruff wrote:Not necessarily...if this isn't a "true random system".Timminz wrote:You seem to have just contradicted yourself.RADAGA wrote:THIS DOES NOT HAPPEN, NOT IN TRUE RANDOM SYSTEMS! Happens here, daily.
I prefer poker...RADAGA wrote:Bingo...Woodruff wrote:Not necessarily...if this isn't a "true random system".Timminz wrote:You seem to have just contradicted yourself.RADAGA wrote:THIS DOES NOT HAPPEN, NOT IN TRUE RANDOM SYSTEMS! Happens here, daily.
And yes, at least here, my dice suck.
*mental note: never enter a cassino, and if does, stick to blackjack*
TheSaxlad wrote:The Dice suck a lot of the time.
And if they dont suck then they blow.
3v2 █████████████████████████ 461 / 379 / 385 (37.63% / 30.94% / 31.43%) (37.17% / 33.58% / 29.26%)Joodoo wrote: I prefer poker...
roll more dice and at some point, the crap rolls and excellent rolls will even out
Since your last post of stats, this is how your rolls have gone:RADAGA wrote:3v2 █████████████████████████ 461 / 379 / 385 (37.63% / 30.94% / 31.43%) (37.17% / 33.58% / 29.26%)Joodoo wrote: I prefer poker...
roll more dice and at some point, the crap rolls and excellent rolls will even out
I dont think so.. they tend to get worse...
I'll save you the invective...I dont think so.. they tend to get worse...
Now try to find a pattern.Definition of Random wrote:Having no specific pattern
I have to agree with destroyer, I have seen multiple times the defender get double 6's in a row, and it barely happens for the attacker.Destroyers Inc. wrote:No way are the dice random. Yeah they're random but there's only 5's & 6's on them. Statistically speaking there's no possible way that the dice can roll the way they do. Went up against a player 17 me 2 him and watched double 6's come up 5 times straight. Yeah random.
Or maybe someone could point to any respectable study that shows random.org provides anything but random numbers.Megadeth666 wrote:Maybe for an experiment Lack should try a few different dice rollers
It's all a fallacy. In your head. Get over it.jship wrote:I have been playing risk for 20+ years and have developed excellent stratagies for playing, as well I own RISK II on disk and have wraped it on numerous times, it uses radom number generation for dice rolls, and never ran into this problem. I have watched my rolls and seen as a matter of fact that if I roll against a higher level player, or a member(i'm not yet), then the rolls come out consistantly against, ie 14-3. When I play equal or lower level and non-member, such as myself, the rolls come out more evenly as one would expect. If numbers are grabbed from another site that would be the problem, and the only way to fix it is to build a random number generator into the game. Also I've tried waiting between rolls, switching between attackers, to no avale.