Conquer Club

P4Ssoa wrote:

Moosegun wrote:The odds of winning 3 vrs 1 is 75%

nope. Its below 75% since when dices are equal; you still lose....

Nope it is 75%, believe me I have a cunning risk probablity calculator.

Moosegun wrote:

P4Ssoa wrote:

Moosegun wrote:The odds of winning 3 vrs 1 is 75%

nope. Its below 75% since when dices are equal; you still lose....

Nope it is 75%, believe me I have a cunning risk probablity calculator.

Just shut the f*ck up, have you tried the real dice 3 vs 1, it's not fucking 75% and in this corrupted cunt game it can NEVER EVER be 75% ROFLMAO!!!!!!!!!!!!!


btw, this proves my point: 128 vs 128 ends up 3 vs 7 to my opponents favor -_-


CUNT!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

still frustrated about that lol :p. Get over it chit happens

oggiss wrote:

Moosegun wrote:

P4Ssoa wrote:

Moosegun wrote:The odds of winning 3 vrs 1 is 75%

nope. Its below 75% since when dices are equal; you still lose....

Nope it is 75%, believe me I have a cunning risk probablity calculator.

Just shut the f*ck up, have you tried the real dice 3 vs 1, it's not fucking 75% and in this corrupted cunt game it can NEVER EVER be 75% ROFLMAO!!!!!!!!!!!!!


btw, this proves my point: 128 vs 128 ends up 3 vs 7 to my opponents favor -_-


CUNT!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Does your mum know you talk like that?

I havent had any experience of problems fighting 3 vrs 1, I would say I probably win 3 out of 4 times, which is correct.

And that final statement doesn't prove anything, in a large battles whilst the odds are with the attacker there are so many mutually exclusive events effecting the result that anything can happen there is no problem with a 3 vrs 7 result. Whilst it is not the MOST probable result it is not freakish in any way.

I am sorry Oggiss, I am trying to reason with you using maths and probability whereas your arguement seems to be based around ......... stfu, cunt??? You clearly don't have a grasp of how either the battle system in Risk works or how dice prob. works.

Here is a link to an explaination ..... http://www.recreationalmath.com/Risk/RiskPaper.doc

Moosegun wrote:

oggiss wrote:

Moosegun wrote:

P4Ssoa wrote:

Moosegun wrote:The odds of winning 3 vrs 1 is 75%

nope. Its below 75% since when dices are equal; you still lose....

Nope it is 75%, believe me I have a cunning risk probablity calculator.

Just shut the f*ck up, have you tried the real dice 3 vs 1, it's not fucking 75% and in this corrupted cunt game it can NEVER EVER be 75% ROFLMAO!!!!!!!!!!!!!


btw, this proves my point: 128 vs 128 ends up 3 vs 7 to my opponents favor -_-


CUNT!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Does your mum know you talk like that?

I havent had any experience of problems fighting 3 vrs 1, I would say I probably win 3 out of 4 times, which is correct.

And that final statement doesn't prove anything, in a large battles whilst the odds are with the attacker there are so many mutually exclusive events effecting the result that anything can happen there is no problem with a 3 vrs 7 result. Whilst it is not the MOST probable result it is not freakish in any way.

I am sorry Oggiss, I am trying to reason with you using maths and probability whereas your arguement seems to be based around ......... stfu, cunt??? You clearly don't have a grasp of how either the battle system in Risk works or how dice prob. works.

Here is a link to an explaination ..... http://www.recreationalmath.com/Risk/RiskPaper.doc

Explain to me then why I lose average 1 army in 3 vs 1 battles?

Explain to me why I have never won a 3 vs 3 battle?

Explain to me why i never have many armies left after a big battle? (like 1000 vs 1000, that would end like 50 left for me and that is not friggin "good dice probability")

Explain to me why I just lost 6 armies versus 1? (PS that happens all the time for me)

Explain to me ....ahhh.... check my friggin game logs some day when you have time ^^

http://www.conquerclub.com/game.php?game=1597955

Couldn't kill one single army in round 3.... I had let's see 6 vs 3, ended 1 vs 3, I had 4 vs 2, ended 1 vs 2, and I had 3 vs 3, ended 1 vs 3.


Coincidence?

from reading this thread I have calculated two possibilites
1. this forum doesn't allow the moderators to ban users or
2. our moderators stink

can someone please get oggiss off this forum!!!

It seems you must be very very unlucky or that you are exageratting your results.

Do you have dice anayliser installed? If so you should be able to get all the stats you need from there, that will give you the ACTUAL % of time you have won certain battles, plus the proper probability that you should be achieving.

3v1 (armies, not dice) is about 57% -- it's 75% if you risk the 2v1 when the 3v1 fails.

As for the attack sequence described, it is a very unlucky turn -- about .7% chance of happening. He's not doing himself any favors though, with his 2v3, 2v2 and 3v3 attacks.

Moosegun wrote:It seems you must be very very unlucky or that you are exageratting your results.

Do you have dice anayliser installed? If so you should be able to get all the stats you need from there, that will give you the ACTUAL % of time you have won certain battles, plus the proper probability that you should be achieving.

So how do I get this?

Go to the addons section, in the list of addons there is one called dice analyiser, install it (you need Greasemonkey for it to work I think) You will then get a new link on the left menu for the analyser. You need to play a few games for it to gather the stats, then when you click the link it will give you details of all your percentages etc.

Although it only anaylises each indivdual combet roll but it will still show whether the rolls you are getting a within the probable results.

Ok I have installed Dice analyzer but where can I see my stats?