Re: Greece: 48 Hours to the End
Posted: Mon Jun 29, 2015 8:40 am
Or is the era you are referring to the Soviet era 
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Dukasaur wrote:I hope they stick to their guns and refuse to pay. Riot, hang all the bankers, hang all the politicians. Have a total monetary collapse, do away with fiat currency, rebuild from the ground up with money that is backed by real goods. The transition will be difficult, but after a brief nightmare they should emerge on the other side stronger, healthier, and happier than ever before. Leave behind the phony economy of paper pushers and enter a new era where men once again expect only an honest day's pay for an honest day's work.
Unlikely, I know, but we are allowed to have dreams.
waauw wrote:Dukasaur wrote:I hope they stick to their guns and refuse to pay. Riot, hang all the bankers, hang all the politicians. Have a total monetary collapse, do away with fiat currency, rebuild from the ground up with money that is backed by real goods. The transition will be difficult, but after a brief nightmare they should emerge on the other side stronger, healthier, and happier than ever before. Leave behind the phony economy of paper pushers and enter a new era where men once again expect only an honest day's pay for an honest day's work.
Unlikely, I know, but we are allowed to have dreams.
I don't understand why people here keep wrongfully assuming that a default would only be painful for a short period of time. There is ample evidence that things could drag on for decades just as well.
patches70 wrote:As opposed to the pain and suffering of years and years of bailouts that haven't helped?
In the bailout route there is no end to the suffering, it only gets worse and worse.
In a default, as in any bankruptcy, there is always light at the end of that tunnel. Whatever time it takes to recover from the default will be much shorter than if Greece keeps on the course she has been for years now under the thumb of the ECB.
Even you have to see that.
patches70 wrote:Iceland went the route of not bailing out the TBTFs and she is much better off now than Italy, Greece, France, Spain etc etc etc. Iceland didn't cave to the bankers or to their threats, instead they put the bankers in prison and let their banks die quick deaths. That is the correct way to proceed.
patches70 wrote:I don't know why people think that loaning money to nations is somehow risk free. There is always risk, something the creditors to Greece should have remembered. Something people who think Greece should pay her debts no matter what misery is inflicted upon her people. The creditors lent money to a high risk nation and now are crying about how there shouldn't have been any risk. Ha! Sucks to be you dude!
In the end the ECB is going to have to eat the losses. Its inevitable, just as the Greek default was inevitable from the beginning. Everyone, and I mean everyone knew full well that Greece wasn't ever going to be able to pay this debt. No amount of beating with the financial stick was going to change basic math.
You can seize all the pensions, you can raise the tax rates to 100%, you can take the Greek islands as payment, take every ounce of Greece's gold, it wouldn't matter because it would never be enough.
Puerto Rico’s governor, saying he needs to pull the island out of a “death spiral,” has concluded that the commonwealth cannot pay its roughly $72 billion in debts, an admission that will probably have wide-reaching financial repercussions.
http://www.nytimes.com/2015/06/29/busin ... yable.html
saxitoxin wrote:Puerto Rico is totally pulling a Jan Brady and now says it's going to default, too -Puerto Rico’s governor, saying he needs to pull the island out of a “death spiral,” has concluded that the commonwealth cannot pay its roughly $72 billion in debts, an admission that will probably have wide-reaching financial repercussions.
http://www.nytimes.com/2015/06/29/busin ... yable.html
- though don't think they have the option of dropping the dollar and going back to the peseta.
waauw wrote:patches70 wrote:Iceland went the route of not bailing out the TBTFs and she is much better off now than Italy, Greece, France, Spain etc etc etc. Iceland didn't cave to the bankers or to their threats, instead they put the bankers in prison and let their banks die quick deaths. That is the correct way to proceed.
Apples and oranges dude:
- Iceland only had a troublesome financial sector, the challenges in Greece are much more profound. The structural difficulties permeate through all of their sectors all the way to their legislation.
- Iceland has access to very cheap energy that Greece does not. They have a myriad of renewable energy sources, and they have already signed deals with China to jointly exploit oil near the North-Pole.
- Greece has one of the highest median ages in the world, whilst Iceland has one of the very lowest median ages out of the entire developed world.
- ...
patches70 wrote:I can't believe you are siding with the creditors, waauw.
patches70 wrote:Lemme ask you, are you the type of person that when confronted with someone who owes you a debt and that person can't pay that debt in a million years, after you've taken everything of value that you can from them until they are left with only their life. The debt is still not paid, and though they have nothing left for you to take, would you insist that they indenture themselves to you for the rest of their life? That the person's children then be indentured to you for the rest of their lives as the person's future labors still wouldn't be enough to pay the debt?.
patches70 wrote:I can't believe you are siding with the creditors, waauw.
Lemme ask you, are you the type of person that when confronted with someone who owes you a debt and that person can't pay that debt in a million years, after you've taken everything of value that you can from them until they are left with only their life. The debt is still not paid, and though they have nothing left for you to take, would you insist that they indenture themselves to you for the rest of their life? That the person's children then be indentured to you for the rest of their lives as the person's future labors still wouldn't be enough to pay the debt?
If they refused to indenture themselves and their children to you, would you then grab them by the hair, drag them to a cell and scream at them "PAY YOUR DEBT!!!" day after day, year after year until they rot and die in that cell? Then you take their children, throw them into the same cell and scream "PAY YOUR FATHER'S DEBT!!!" day after day, year after year until they too rot and die in that cell?
Would you insist that your children take your place screaming at the poor unfortunate sods after your own demise insisting that the children of the debtor pay the children of the creditor?
Are you so petty?
Or would you be the type of person that after taking everything that you can from the person until they have only their life, that you would then take that person's life? Murder them for a debt even though that won't get your money back? Then murder the person's family, even though that too won't get your money back? That is something the mafia would do.
What you do when you insist upon all else that Greece pay her debts like some bleeting sheep ignoring the simple fact that come hell or high water Greece is absolutely incapable of paying the debt? Its not that the Greeks are choosing not to pay the debt, it is that they can't pay the debt. There is no way, its a math problem as simple as one can get.
At some point, you as the creditor have to say f*ck it, and you write off the debt as a loss. Or you could be that other person I guess, but if you were to see someone doing that to another person, would you be comfortable support that person's claim to such extreme measures? I'm not, but that's me.
What you are advocating waauw, leads to war, violence, death and destruction. I cannot believe you would stand with that side of the equation. The bankers would, war and violence are good ways to get more people into debt to them.
It is insanity to keep insisting that Greece pay something that they cannot pay. Even if the creditors took all the pensions, stole the money out of the elderly's mouths, stole the pennies in every Greek child's piggy bank, after taking every dime of every Greek's paychecks, after taking every morsel of food the debt would still not be paid and all the Greeks would be dead, dead dead because the creditors deprived them of the things they need to live for the sake of a debt.
Would you be comfortable watching the Greek people being punished to the point of untold misery not for the sake of actually collecting the debt, but as a warning to others to what happens if they too fail to be able to pay a debt?
I'm not.
Greece is in a mess, the ECB is in a mess, and as long as people keep ignoring the reality that the debt can't be paid and that the debt must be paid in full, then there is no way to move forward at all. This thinking leads to war, over an unpayable debt. The war won't get the money paid back and the Greek people will be gone, dead as door nails because they can't pay back people who loaned them money that was created out of thin air in the first place.
Think about that for a moment, the money came into being in the first place because someone hit "print" or hit "enter" on a keyboard somewhere instead of earning the money actually producing a good or developing a resource. And this is what you'd be comfortable with for nations to go to war over?
I don't think so. I hope not. Granted, there are certain parties who are more than willing to go that route, but it won't be to recover the previously owed debt, it will be to get others to assume the debt instead. And those others will also happen to be the ones who do the dying and fighting.
One day people are going to wake up and figure out what this current economic system really is, fraud. Unsustainable, unstable immoral and not worth killing and dying for. Even with all the benefits that our current system has doesn't make up for the downside especially when there are other more sound and stable, but albeit less flexible, systems available. Sound money is proper money, anything else is fraud.
waauw wrote:PS: As I mentioned before in this topic, it is highly likely that a collapse of the global financial system will be more beneficial for countries like China and Russia than it would be for the west.
waauw wrote:You're taking this too personal. I'm not advocating anything an I'm not siding with anyone here. I'm merely mentioning that Greece's precariousness is much more complex than what several people here have been claiming. I'm not saying anything regarding what 'should be', only what 'is'.
waauw wrote:I agree the global system is unsustainable, but that doesn't change Greece's situation currently.
waauw wrote:PS: As I mentioned before in this topic, it is highly likely that a collapse of the global financial system will be more beneficial for countries like China and Russia than it would be for the west.
mrswdk wrote:waauw wrote:PS: As I mentioned before in this topic, it is highly likely that a collapse of the global financial system will be more beneficial for countries like China and Russia than it would be for the west.
Going by the countries that were able to shrug off 2008 the most easily, it would be China, India and SE Asia who would gain most in the re-balancing that would take place following that sort of collapse.
patches70 wrote:mrswdk wrote:waauw wrote:PS: As I mentioned before in this topic, it is highly likely that a collapse of the global financial system will be more beneficial for countries like China and Russia than it would be for the west.
Going by the countries that were able to shrug off 2008 the most easily, it would be China, India and SE Asia who would gain most in the re-balancing that would take place following that sort of collapse.
This thread isn't about China
Dukasaur wrote:I hope they stick to their guns and refuse to pay. Riot, hang all the bankers, hang all the politicians. Have a total monetary collapse, do away with fiat currency, rebuild from the ground up with money that is backed by real goods. The transition will be difficult, but after a brief nightmare they should emerge on the other side stronger, healthier, and happier than ever before. Leave behind the phony economy of paper pushers and enter a new era where men once again expect only an honest day's pay for an honest day's work.
Unlikely, I know, but we are allowed to have dreams.
patches70 wrote:You're the one who thinks Greece should pay the price, you're are the one who wants to hold Greece accountable.
mrswdk wrote:patches70 wrote:You're the one who thinks Greece should pay the price, you're are the one who wants to hold Greece accountable.
I know, holding someone to promises that they made to you. What a ridiculous idea.
mrswdk wrote:patches70 wrote:You're the one who thinks Greece should pay the price, you're are the one who wants to hold Greece accountable.
I know, holding someone to promises that they made to you. What a ridiculous idea.
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