Conquer Club

The dice are like ping pong balls. Boing boing boing. Up and down up and down up and down... Boing boing boing.

johnnycaffeine wrote:The Surprising Frequency of Low-Probability Events: https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/surprisi ... -arm-crcmp

Just to clarify, are some of you geniuses in this thread making the point that this article is wrong?

interesting article; other should read it

jusplay4fun wrote:

johnnycaffeine wrote:The Surprising Frequency of Low-Probability Events: https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/surprisi ... -arm-crcmp

Just to clarify, are some of you geniuses in this thread making the point that this article is wrong?

interesting article; other should read it

I agree, that was very enlightening, but it doesn't do much for justifying my complaining. Now I will have to research a whole new reason why things aren't fair. Or, maybe not. If I were to just claim that things were rigged and unfair and did it loud enough and long enough, maybe people would have to recognize that with that amount of noise there must be something there. So with that in mind. The dice are rigged and unfair.The dice are rigged and unfair.The dice are rigged and unfair.The dice are rigged and unfair.The dice are rigged and unfair.The dice are rigged and unfair.

I have just had a game where I lost EVERY SINGLE roll three times. 6vs 3, 6vs 2, 4 vs 1.... all same result. I lost all my men for no gain. Impossible with REAL dice. Go figure.

The dice are very fair, the stats are always accurate - every game is on a level platform
:--------------) yeeeeeehaaaaaa

crap dice all day but just won 7 vs 1,9,5 loosing only 1

This is a gamblers post. And gamblers dice. Most only remember the rounds with shit dice round over round. Agreed, been there. But enough times the dice have swung the other way, but those seem to get lost in memory. That's the issue here. There's an algorithm here and it needs to be accounted for along with strategy. You remember the good but not the bad. And look at the defense too, it evens out at the end. Unless there's a big conspiracy on the overall dice stats being manipulated, that's a different post though. Believe me, I bitch about dice all the time but when I get that 5vs15 come through, I ain't postin shit. Just thankin these dice gods. The dice average and that's that. Best advice, plan your turns better to hit the streaks and hit the bad spots when it don't matter. Otherwise, toughen up buttercup...

Had a few months respite, came back to CC now that the nights are drawing in and there's nowt better to do! First turn dice apocalypse and I end up here, all that time off, calming down forgotten in a blaze of furious injustice, obvious bias, who cares what the stats say, I know you're all agin me!! Anyone know the best antedote for paranoia? Long Live the Dice Gods

Replying to the post at the end of page 1 on this thread (where the poster said that the odds from a website used for gaming odds said the chance of losing a 40 vs 10 attack was 9%). It's not, it's 0%

The odds from the website you posted (BattleOdds)
Attacker Is Defeated 0.00068%
Defender Is Defeated 99.99932%