NFL PICKS: Super Bowl Sunday

[DoomYoshi]

http://live.advancednflstats.com/index.php?gameid1=2013102700

[Army of GOD]

[quote="DoomYoshi"]I am trying to track scores and start another power ranking system. Note that I include the divisions in this. Since it is a really simple +/- system using scores and yards to rank teams, I summed the team totals in the divisions and treated the division as another team. These games aren`t weighted for recent scores, like other power ratings tend to be. I don`t want to reveal my formula, and you probably don`t care. Some interesting numbers are that for every negative point on the redskins, there is a positive point on the Colts. Also, the raiders and chargers are equally distant from the mean.

DY`s Power Rankings:
[spoiler=with conference]AFC West
Broncos
NFC West
Chiefs
Saints
Seahawks
Panthers
49ers
NFC South
Colts
Packers
Bengals
Cowboys
Patriots
Chargers
Lions
NFC North
Bears
Ravens
Titans
Rams
Dolphins
AFC North
Falcons
Raiders
Steelers
Bills
Eagles
Browns
Cardinals
Redskins
Vikings
Buccaneers
Texans
Jets
AFC East
Giants
NFC East
Jaguars
AFC South[/spoiler]

[spoiler=No Conference][list=1][*]Broncos
[*]Chiefs
[*]Saints
[*]Seahawks
[*]Panthers
[*]49ers
[*]Colts
[*]Packers
[*]Bengals
[*]Cowboys
[*]Patriots
[*]Chargers
[*]Lions
[*]Bears
[*]Ravens
[*]Titans
[*]Rams
[*]Dolphins
[*]Falcons
[*]Raiders
[*]Steelers
[*]Bills
[*]Eagles
[*]Browns
[*]Cardinals
[*]Redskins
[*]Vikings
[*]Buccaneers
[*]Texans
[*]Jets
[*]Giants
[*]Jaguars[/list][/spoiler]

To compare to [url=http://espn.go.com/nfl/powerrankings]ESPN`s most recent power rankings[/url]:
They have both chiefs and colts above broncos. The next big difference is the Panthers. They have them as 18 - right in the middle does make sense for a 3-3 team. However, they are a top-half offense with an average D, with good pass and run games. They may just be a relic of the formula.

I also have the Rams 10 positions higher. This is because I don`t weigh in on Quarterback losses.

I have the Raiders victory calculated in, which is probably why they are higher.

Looking at the bottom, it becomes clear that the method breaks down for teams that don`t score high. I will keep tweaking.[/quote]

Other than the fact that you have the Panthers a bit too high, your rankings are agreeable.

I've been following ESPN's rankings for most of the season and I'm embarrassed to be in the same species as whoever writes it. They enable "overreaction Monday" as much as possible.

A team lost? Move them down 30 places. A Kansas City team that has beaten one top 15 QB all year? Greatest team ever. It's disgusting.

I can't wait until the Broncos shit on KCs face in three weeks. I also can't wait to eat crow when the Broncos lose because I'm guaranteeing a win.

[DoomYoshi]

I want KC to win that game, just because I like the idea of teams going 16-0. I`d rather if the Broncos waited to the playoffs to shit all over their face.

[oVo]

I don't expect the Chiefs to go undefeated,
but love to see them being competitive.

Denver and Kansas City will meet twice
since they play in the same division...

and it's possible the AFC West could have
three teams make the playoffs. It's only
Week 9 and a lot can happen, so let's not
get carried away.

[Frigidus]

The Seahawks were really supposed to be an easy win.

[Timminz]

Car @ TB
Dal @ Det - If Murray were playing, my pick would be different
Cle @ KC - The Chiefs will lose eventually, but the Browns are not the ones to beat them
Mia @ NE - Gronk's bout of almost-TDs will be less "almost" than last week
Buf @ NO
NYG @ Phi
SF @ Jax
NYJ @ Cin
Pit @ Oak
Was @ Den
Atl @ Ari
GB @ Min
Sea @ StL - Won't even be close

11-2 this week (should really have been 12-1, but I just can't seem to pick the 49ers). 50/50 on my commentary. 57-31 overall.

[Army of GOD]

If there was a somewhat capable QB for the Rams they would've had the win.

[oVo]

Almost doesn't count... but the Rams came damn close.
I was offered the Rams and 10 pts.

Vince Young is available.

[Lootifer]

Panthers@Buccs
Bills@Saints
Browns@Chiefs
Cowboys@Lions
49ers@Jags
Dolphins@Patriots
Giants@Eagles
Jets@Bengals
Steelers@Raiders
Redskins@Broncos
Falcons@Cardinals
Packers@Vikings
Seahawks@Rams

11/13, 48/73, 0.658 overall

[Army of GOD]

9-6, 65-42 overall. Never picking the Jags again.

CAR @ TB
DAL @ DET
CLE @ KC
MIA @ NE
BUF @ NO
NYG @ PHI
SF @ JAX
NYJ @ CIN
PIT @ OAK
WAS @ BRONCOS
ATL @ ARI
GB @ MIN
SEA @ STL

11-2, 76-44 overall.

CIN @ MIA Dalton struggles
ATL @ CAR Wouldn't be surprised if ATL rose to the game but the Panthers are rolling
MIN @ DAL
NO @ NYJ
TEN @ STL
KC @ BUF Please Buffalo, please win this game...
SD @ WAS
PHI @ OAK How is Barkley in the league still?
TB @ SEA ...haha...
BAL @ CLE
PIT @ NE
IND @ HOU
CHI @ GB No way does Chicago have a chance if Cutler's out

BRONCOS BRONCOS BRONCOS BRONCOS BRONCOS BRONCOS BRONCOS BRONCOS BRONCOS BRONCOS BRONCOS BRONCOS BRONCOS BRONCOS BRONCOS BRONCOS BRONCOS BRONCOS BRONCOS BRONCOS BRONCOS BRONCOS BRONCOS BRONCOS BRONCOS BRONCOS BRONCOS BRONCOS BRONCOS BRONCOS BRONCOS BRONCOS BRONCOS BRONCOS BRONCOS BRONCOS BRONCOS BRONCOS BRONCOS BRONCOS BRONCOS BRONCOS BRONCOS BRONCOS BRONCOS BRONCOS BRONCOS BRONCOS

[Army of GOD]

11-2 this week (should really have been 12-1, but I just can't seem to pick the 49ers). 50/50 on my commentary. 57-31 overall.

You really thought the Jags had a chance at the Niners?

[oVo]

11-2 this week should really have been 12-1, but I just can't seem to pick the 49ers.

LOL... Jaguars are winless! San Francisco is easily NFL Top 10 and
Detroit, Oakland and probably Seattle all should have lost this week
as they were very 'fortunate' to eek out wins.

How is Barkley in the league still?

He is a 23 year old Rookie, what are you expecting from him?

[DoomYoshi]

I picked the jags to cover 13.5. Bad choice.

[Timminz]

11-2 this week (should really have been 12-1, but I just can't seem to pick the 49ers). 50/50 on my commentary. 57-31 overall.

You really thought the Jags had a chance at the Niners?

Of course not, that would be ridiculous. I just won't pick the niners.

[DoomYoshi]

ESPN did just jump Carolina 6 places. One more week like that and we will have them at the same place.

My picks next week:

Chiefs road at -3
Rams home at +3
Colts road at -1
Ravens road at -1

I saw enough promise in the rams on monday to take them as dogs. Not too much room to breathe, but enough.
Houston shouldn`t give the Colts any problems.
Got the browns last week against KC at 7.5. I lucked out there. Ravens have struggled but not that much.
Chiefs are going to crush buffalo.

[Timminz]

CIN @ MIA
ATL @ CAR
MIN @ DAL
NO @ NYJ
TEN @ STL
KC @ BUF
SD @ WAS
PHI @ OAK
TB @ SEA
BAL @ CLE
PIT @ NE
IND @ HOU
CHI @ GB

[Lootifer]

Bengals@Dolphins
Chiefs@Bills
Falcons@Panthers
Vikings@Cowboys
Saints@Jets
Chargers@Redskins
Titans@Rams
Eagles@Raiders
Buccs@Seahawks
Ravens@Browns
Steelers@Patriots
Colts@Texans
Bears@Packers

[oVo]

Week 9

CIN ... Bengals have been more consistant even on the road & show some D
CAR ... Falcons have been wallowing in mediocrity
DAL ... Cowboys are entertaining everyone but their fans
NO ... Brees plays for the Saints, have the Lets found a QB yet?
TEN ... starts a 3 game win streak in St.Louis
KC ...even doses of offense & defense
SD ... thinking Rivers will flow
OAK ...Raiders on a win streak? Home field and a QB are a plus
SEA . . I expect the Bucs to win one eventually, but not this week
BAL ...tough choice here, both have 3 wins & Campbell was good last week vs the Chiefs
PIT ... My upset pick of the weekend in the afterglow of Red Sox bliss
IND . . . Texan fans will be wearing bags in the stands soon
GB . . . Rodgers has his mojo working & dunno who starts at QB for the Bears

[Crazyirishman]

10-3 for me last week, 71-49 overall

This week I got

CIN
CAR
DAL
NO
TEN
KC
WAS
PHI
SEA
CLE
PIT
IND
GB

[Frigidus]

CIN @ MIA
ATL @ CAR
MIN @ DAL
NO @ NYJ
TEN @ STL
KC @ BUF
SD @ WAS
PHI @ OAK
TB @ SEA
BAL @ CLE
PIT @ NE
IND @ HOU
CHI @ GB

[oVo]

Trick or Treat? Bengals give away four turnovers,
a 50 yard drive in the final minute for Miami to force
Overtime and Dalton is sacked for safety to end it???
REALLY ANDY???

[Army of GOD]

Trick or Treat? Bengals give away four turnovers,
a 50 yard drive in the final minute for Miami to force
Overtime and Dalton is sacked for safety to end it???
REALLY ANDY???

I mean it's a bang -bang play but in my mind there's no way he should've taken that sack. He had to have known the consequences if he got tackled. He should've at the very least dove forward and saved a yard that would've saved the game for the moment.

[Lootifer]

Lol my recording stopped just prior to OT...

Either way pretty good second half to watch.

[oVo]

Looking at games today I'm starting to wonder
about unnecessary roughness penalties called
and the potential of them ruining the game.

Too many iffy calls.

[DoomYoshi]

Looking at games today I'm starting to wonder
about unnecessary roughness penalties called
and the potential of them ruining the game.

Too many iffy calls.

I saw an iffy roughing the passer call also.