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Re: [CC5] FALL vs LHDD [21-19]

Posted: Thu Jul 30, 2015 5:24 am
by betiko
well it looks like we'll give you a good fight till the end, looking at the ongoing games this looks closer than ever.
Has anyone ever overcome a 7-13 in a batch 1?

Re: [CC5] FALL vs LHDD [21-19]

Posted: Thu Jul 30, 2015 7:28 am
by IcePack
betiko wrote:well it looks like we'll give you a good fight till the end, looking at the ongoing games this looks closer than ever.
Has anyone ever overcome a 7-13 in a batch 1?


I don't know about in the past but it won't happen this time ;)

Re: [CC5] FALL vs LHDD [21-19]

Posted: Thu Jul 30, 2015 8:31 am
by betiko
The way i see it right now is 27-28 for you guys

Re: [CC5] FALL vs LHDD [21-19]

Posted: Thu Jul 30, 2015 10:21 am
by donche64
Same prediction over here. Thats a hell of a fight. GO HUSSARDS!!

Re: [CC5] FALL vs LHDD [21-19]

Posted: Thu Jul 30, 2015 10:39 am
by IcePack
betiko wrote:The way i see it right now is 27-28 for you guys


I guess you have to keep up hope somehow :D

Re: [CC5] FALL vs LHDD [21-19]

Posted: Fri Jul 31, 2015 3:24 am
by betiko
IcePack wrote:
betiko wrote:The way i see it right now is 27-28 for you guys


I guess you have to keep up hope somehow :D


speak up your predictions ice!

Re: [CC5] FALL vs LHDD [21-20]

Posted: Fri Jul 31, 2015 11:10 am
by Doc_Brown
I've got this as 27-30 in favor of FALL:

GAME STATUS
Set 1 + TB - Result: 8-11
Forecast: 8-13 (FALL)

Set 2 - Result: 8-8
Forecast: 11-9 (LHDD)

Set 3 - Result: 4-2
Forecast: 8-8 (LHDD)


Overall - Result: 20-21
Forecast: 27-30 (FALL)


Likely LHDD
Game 15787645 Monsters - s2
Game 15817508 Rorke's Drift - s3

Advantage LHDD
Game 15778677 Feudal Epic - s2
Game 15779650 Montreal - s2
Game 15816230 Conquer 500 - s3
Game 15817504 Vertex - s3
Game 15817505 Austerlitz - s3

Even
Game 15817525 Bamboo Jack - s3
Game 15817510 Poison Rome - s3
Game 15817513 Poison Rome - s3
Game 15819917 Eurasia - s3

Advantage FALL
Game 15779654 First Nations America - s2
Game 15816223 Battle for Iraq - s3
Game 15816246 Labyrinth - s3
Game 15816242 Prohibition Chicago - s3
Game 15816231 New Zealand - s3
Game 15816236 France 2.1 - s3
Game 15816245 Philadelphia - s3

Likely FALL
Game 15740144 Das Schloss - s1
Game 15740150 Conquer Rome - s1

Re: [CC5] FALL vs LHDD [21-20]

Posted: Fri Jul 31, 2015 11:14 am
by Donelladan
Well, this is wrong, real estimated score is 27-28 like betiko said, but you'd need to be playing them to know that.
From your post, 1 fall advantage is actually lhdd advantage, and another should be even. But things can change pretty fast there, everything is possible.

Re: [CC5] FALL vs LHDD [21-20]

Posted: Fri Jul 31, 2015 1:03 pm
by IcePack
I have 29-28 FALL, yesterday was 30-27 but austerity has recently turned.

Re: [CC5] FALL vs LHDD [21-20]

Posted: Fri Jul 31, 2015 1:10 pm
by iAmCaffeine
Wooo Hussards!

Re: [CC5] FALL vs LHDD [21-20]

Posted: Fri Jul 31, 2015 1:16 pm
by Keefie
Image

Re: [CC5] FALL vs LHDD [21-20]

Posted: Fri Jul 31, 2015 1:46 pm
by betiko
IcePack wrote:I have 29-28 FALL, yesterday was 30-27 but austerity has recently turned.


i have it at 28-28

Re: [CC5] FALL vs LHDD [21-20]

Posted: Fri Jul 31, 2015 1:47 pm
by betiko
Keefie wrote:Image


pretty much! This is the money time!!!

Re: [CC5] FALL vs LHDD [21-20]

Posted: Fri Jul 31, 2015 1:53 pm
by betiko
Doc_Brown wrote:I've got this as 27-30 in favor of FALL:

GAME STATUS
Set 1 + TB - Result: 8-11
Forecast: 8-13 (FALL)

Set 2 - Result: 8-8
Forecast: 11-9 (LHDD)

Set 3 - Result: 4-2
Forecast: 8-8 (LHDD)


Overall - Result: 20-21
Forecast: 27-30 (FALL)


Likely LHDD
Game 15787645 Monsters - s2
Game 15817508 Rorke's Drift - s3

Advantage LHDD
Game 15778677 Feudal Epic - s2
Game 15779650 Montreal - s2
Game 15816230 Conquer 500 - s3
Game 15817504 Vertex - s3
Game 15817505 Austerlitz - s3

Even
Game 15817525 Bamboo Jack - s3
Game 15817510 Poison Rome - s3
Game 15817513 Poison Rome - s3
Game 15819917 Eurasia - s3

Advantage FALL
Game 15779654 First Nations America - s2
Game 15816223 Battle for Iraq - s3
Game 15816246 Labyrinth - s3
Game 15816242 Prohibition Chicago - s3
Game 15816231 New Zealand - s3
Game 15816236 France 2.1 - s3
Game 15816245 Philadelphia - s3

Likely FALL
Game 15740144 Das Schloss - s1
Game 15740150 Conquer Rome - s1



you got this more or less right except for philadelphia that is really going our way.... we've been dropping 20v12 for a few rounds and we'll take our sweet time (clearly a "likely lhdd" as you would call it). Other than this I think the only difference with my forecast is that I have france 2.1 at even given that it's escalating and anything can happen.

Re: [CC5] FALL vs LHDD [21-20]

Posted: Fri Jul 31, 2015 2:10 pm
by rockfist
Yep,

Philly is a strange map where if you can get someone on your team to one territory way in the back, you get a big edge.

Re: [CC5] FALL vs LHDD [21-20]

Posted: Fri Jul 31, 2015 2:15 pm
by IcePack
betiko wrote:
Doc_Brown wrote:I've got this as 27-30 in favor of FALL:

GAME STATUS
Set 1 + TB - Result: 8-11
Forecast: 8-13 (FALL)

Set 2 - Result: 8-8
Forecast: 11-9 (LHDD)

Set 3 - Result: 4-2
Forecast: 8-8 (LHDD)


Overall - Result: 20-21
Forecast: 27-30 (FALL)


Likely LHDD
Game 15787645 Monsters - s2
Game 15817508 Rorke's Drift - s3

Advantage LHDD
Game 15778677 Feudal Epic - s2
Game 15779650 Montreal - s2
Game 15816230 Conquer 500 - s3
Game 15817504 Vertex - s3
Game 15817505 Austerlitz - s3

Even
Game 15817525 Bamboo Jack - s3
Game 15817510 Poison Rome - s3
Game 15817513 Poison Rome - s3
Game 15819917 Eurasia - s3

Advantage FALL
Game 15779654 First Nations America - s2
Game 15816223 Battle for Iraq - s3
Game 15816246 Labyrinth - s3
Game 15816242 Prohibition Chicago - s3
Game 15816231 New Zealand - s3
Game 15816236 France 2.1 - s3
Game 15816245 Philadelphia - s3

Likely FALL
Game 15740144 Das Schloss - s1
Game 15740150 Conquer Rome - s1



you got this more or less right except for philadelphia that is really going our way.... we've been dropping 20v12 for a few rounds and we'll take our sweet time (clearly a "likely lhdd" as you would call it). Other than this I think the only difference with my forecast is that I have france 2.1 at even given that it's escalating and anything can happen.


Agreed w/ philly, it's LHDD. France is ESC, but it is currently leaning FALL. So while anything can happen and it's not likely fall just leaning, it is in that category. Plus I have one of the other evens in the advantage fall column.

Re: [CC5] FALL vs LHDD [21-20]

Posted: Fri Jul 31, 2015 2:31 pm
by Doc_Brown
You're right. I think I had Philly as even for a while because the territory difference leaned one way and the deploys leaned the other. I didn't look quite as closely on that one when I went through this again. Eurasia is kind of in a similar boat, and I almost put that as Advantage FALL.

Re: [CC5] FALL vs LHDD [21-20]

Posted: Sun Aug 02, 2015 4:03 am
by betiko
any chance we get some of your dice on important turns too? this war is getting fucking ridiculous.

Re: [CC5] FALL vs LHDD [21-20]

Posted: Sun Aug 02, 2015 5:09 am
by Keefie
betiko wrote:any chance we get some of your dice on important turns too? this war is getting fucking ridiculous.


Image

Re: [CC5] FALL vs LHDD [21-20]

Posted: Mon Aug 03, 2015 2:47 pm
by IcePack
Looks like TOFU will play the winner here

Re: [CC5] FALL vs LHDD [21-20]

Posted: Mon Aug 03, 2015 3:50 pm
by Dako
Yapp. We are waiting for the stronger one (or luckier one) in the finals.

Re: [CC5] FALL vs LHDD [21-20]

Posted: Mon Aug 03, 2015 7:27 pm
by IcePack
I see there are a few late voters in favor of LHDD ;)

Re: [CC5] FALL vs LHDD [21-20]

Posted: Mon Aug 03, 2015 7:40 pm
by ptlowe
Groupies

Re: [CC5] FALL vs LHDD [21-20]

Posted: Tue Aug 04, 2015 2:50 am
by betiko
Perhaps because your eliott ness crew couldn t keep up with al capone on prohibition chicago! :D

21-21

Re: [CC5] FALL vs LHDD [21-22]

Posted: Tue Aug 04, 2015 2:36 pm
by nolefan5311
It's funny how quick you take turns in games in which you're winning, and drag the clock out in your sure losses :)