spoils probability
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- The Fire Knight
- Posts: 50
- Joined: Fri Jan 30, 2009 10:10 pm
- Gender: Male
spoils probability
This doesn't make much of a difference for escalating, nuclear, and no spoils, but it does for flat spoils. I just played a flat spoils game and learned that a mixed set is worth 10, a red one 4, a green one 6, and a blue one 8. Now does anyone know about spoils probabilities? Is it all just random? Or are blue's rarer? Or are they only rarer on flat spoils? And can two people have a spoil card of the same country?
Re: spoils probability
Whenever a card is drawn there are equal chances of it being every color. Even if a card of the same name was drawn with a different color previously.
YesThe Fire Knight wrote:And can two people have a spoil card of the same country?
Re: spoils probability
3 cards:
Set 1/3
Mixed 2/9
Blue 1/27
Green 1/27
Red 1/27
4 Cards:
Set 7/9
Cant be bothered thinking any further than that.
Set 1/3
Mixed 2/9
Blue 1/27
Green 1/27
Red 1/27
4 Cards:
Set 7/9
Cant be bothered thinking any further than that.
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Re: spoils probability
4 Cards:
Chance of a set if you did not have a set at 3 cards: 2/3 (1/3 mixed set, 1/3 same color set)
5 Cards: you can hand in 1 set
I once did the calculation for 6 and 7 cards, with 7 cards it's quite unlikely not to have 2 sets if I remember correctly. With 8 you definately have 2 sets again.
Chance of a set if you did not have a set at 3 cards: 2/3 (1/3 mixed set, 1/3 same color set)
5 Cards: you can hand in 1 set
I once did the calculation for 6 and 7 cards, with 7 cards it's quite unlikely not to have 2 sets if I remember correctly. With 8 you definately have 2 sets again.
Re: spoils probability
5 card it's 10/10 to have a set
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Artic patrol
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Re: spoils probability
ask me2 wrote:5 card it's 10/10 to have a set
Haha!
- darth emperor
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Re: spoils probability
Artic patrol wrote:ask me2 wrote:5 card it's 10/10 to have a set
Haha!
sure??not kidding??
Anyway is not so sure...you can have the 5th card as no colour card(remeber the bug of 10th march)

- The Fire Knight
- Posts: 50
- Joined: Fri Jan 30, 2009 10:10 pm
- Gender: Male
Re: spoils probability
[quote="spiesr"]Whenever a card is drawn there are equal chances of it being every color. Even if a card of the same name was drawn with a different color previously.
Ah. Thanks. That will probable be the last time that I play a flat rate spoils game then.
Ah. Thanks. That will probable be the last time that I play a flat rate spoils game then.
- natty dread
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Artic patrol
- Posts: 157
- Joined: Tue Jan 27, 2009 1:17 pm
Re: spoils probability
darth emperor wrote:Artic patrol wrote:ask me2 wrote:5 card it's 10/10 to have a set
Haha!
sure??not kidding??
Anyway is not so sure...you can have the 5th card as no colour card(remeber the bug of 10th march)
Yeah ask me2 are you sure you are not kidding?
- theBastard
- Posts: 994
- Joined: Sat Jan 09, 2010 9:05 am
Re: spoils probability
in this game http://www.conquerclub.com/game.php?game=6769595 I had three green spoils and gain 4 units. another player had also three green spoils and gain 6 units. why? I think it should be the same...
- Blinkadyblink
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Re: spoils probability
theBastard wrote:in this game http://www.conquerclub.com/game.php?game=6769595 I had three green spoils and gain 4 units. another player had also three green spoils and gain 6 units. why? I think it should be the same...
That's an escalating game. The first set, no matter what color it is, gets 4 troops, the next one gets 6 troops and it keeps on going up. In a flat rate game, all sets of the same color are worth the same amount.
- theBastard
- Posts: 994
- Joined: Sat Jan 09, 2010 9:05 am
Re: spoils probability
hm, thanks for answer. I just only learn how games goes.
