Which is better: to defend or to attack?

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geegel
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Which is better: to defend or to attack?

Post by geegel »

When there is a 3 vs 2 dice situation (the most common roll), which are the odds for:

1) attacker losing 2 dice
2) attacker losing 1 dice and the defender losing one dice
3) defender losing 2 dice.

I'm interested more in statistical calculations, rather than strange fairytales.

Thank you all in advance.

Best regards, George
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joeyjordison
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Post by joeyjordison »

google it. search risk dice probabilities or somethin
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joeyjordison
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Post by joeyjordison »

and then search for CC risk dice probabilities :P
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Dlakavi
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Post by Dlakavi »

37.17% defender loses 2
33.58% both lose 1
29.26% attacker loses 2
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Great Pretender
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Post by Great Pretender »

In my experience on CC (which isn't that much) is that it is better to attack than to defend. Like a game of chess, take or be taken
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Nous-irons
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Post by Nous-irons »

If you're fighting 1 v 1, attack.

But you see, most likely there's some politics involved. What you don't want to do is to weaken both yourself and another opponent, only for a third party to benefit.
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RobinJ
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Post by RobinJ »

It really does just depend on the overall game situation.

Great Pretender wrote:In my experience on CC (which isn't that much) is that it is better to attack than to defend. Like a game of chess, take or be taken


How good are you at chess? I've learned from hard experience that in both Risk and Chess, attacking too much often fucks the game for you. :wink:

P.S. I believe there is another thread about this somewhere :)
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wcaclimbing
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Post by wcaclimbing »

i vote for wikipedia
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Great Pretender
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Post by Great Pretender »

RobinJ wrote:How good are you at chess? I've learned from hard experience that in both Risk and Chess, attacking too much often fucks the game for you. :wink:

P.S. I believe there is another thread about this somewhere :)


If i'm going down, i'm taking someone else with me :)
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sPaMgLiSh
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Post by sPaMgLiSh »

Well i've only played a few games and the logic that was obvios was, do i want to roll 2 dice defending or 3 attacking? hmmm... of course i thought that dreamfilled 3rd dice would guarentee victory!
Having pretty much lost every game i've played... i am forced to reconsider that, it's 3 dice where each dice might as well have a -1 added onto it. Vs 2 dice which if you roll a 6 guarentee's a kill... so... i'm guessing if you only have 3 armies, defending FTW, attacking 2v2dice with roll results against you can't be good.
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Nobunaga
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Post by Nobunaga »

... Does Lack still use Random.org? Just wondering. My dice are fine.
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Fantius
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Post by Fantius »

Nobunaga wrote:... Does Lack still use Random.org? Just wondering. My dice are fine.


Why would he do that? There are plenty of excellent random number generators out there that are several orders of magnitude faster than hitting some external site.
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sPaMgLiSh
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Post by sPaMgLiSh »

so now it'd be interesting to see the stats for 3attakcer dice vs 1 defender dice, some guy accused me of going easy on another guy because i leave 2 in some countries i don't wanna lose.... Bangbus cough cough
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