john9blue wrote: notyou2 wrote:Well John, I think Player just spanked your ass.
player has a hype man? wtf is this?
what her argument boiled down to is that the percent of global warming believers is higher than the percent of fox viewers, so the two cases are totally different somehow.
No John, that was NOT my argument at all.
My argument is that consensus means universal agreement, sometimes with a negligible disagreement, but usually with NO disagreement. Far different from just a "majority".
A "majority" just means more people think one thing than another. The latter is easy, happens a lot in science and other issues. The first rarely happens anywhere, but particularly not in science, except when there is a firm base of solid evidence.
This is why that there is/was a scientific consensus about Global Climate change (much more complex than simply "global warming", by-the-way) is so phenomenal. There really IS NO DISAGREEMENT among credible scientists that the Earth's climate is changing!
Those who watch Fox don't even necessarily represent a majority of anything, even if they might outnumber those who read the Times. Just outnumbering another group doesn't mean you have a majority.
john9blue wrote:also that people who disagree with fox news could still watch it (an argument that applies both ways, i might add).
What "both ways?" You claimed that more people watching Fox meant it was credible. I simply said "not so fast". I made no other assertions or comparisons. Why do you keep wanting to add other things into this>
john9blue wrote:when she says things like:
PLAYER57832 wrote:The rest are just "hangers on", or as you say, people who believe that scientific evidence matters more than mere opinion and unfounded ideas, even if the proven conclusions are extremely inconvenient.
it indicates to me that she doesn't even have the faintest interest in what the people who disagree with her have to say. to claim that one side has all the evidence and science, and the other is full of people who can't think critically, is a black and white worldview that borders on childish. i don't think i've seen anything that biased since sultan was around.
In THIS particular case, there IS NO DISAGREEMENT among credible scientists that the Earth's climate is changing. That is just plain truth. Those who claim that there "is no evidence" that the Earth's climate is changing are not using accepted scientific practices. They are starting from a bias and then seeking out only what they wish to assert their beliefs. Similarly, no one credible denies these changes will harm human beings, impact us in many negative ways. (the exact nature of some changes, how bad things will be.. those are debated)
There is a growing belief that humans have caused this change. The numbers of those disagreeing is pretty small, but enough that I am not sure you can say its a true consensus (debateable, that). (I usually say "a growing consensus.. meaning it is getting very close to a consensus, but not necessarily absolutely "there" yet. I have a very, very very hard time finding any truly credible scientist who does not thing humans have influenced our climate, but I won't dismiss that they exist out of hand .. yet.)
There is a LOT of disagreement and debate over what needs to be done, with a few exceptions. For example, its pretty universally accepted that cutting CO2 emmissions won't hurt. How much it will help is debateable. More and more scientists put forward other things, such as Methane, CO, etc have to be controlled as well might perhaps matter as much or more than CO2, but basically no one says cutting CO2 is a bad thing.
The OTHER point is the document signed by numerous climate scientists putting this forward as a major issue needing attention. That document has been misquoted, misused, etc a lot. However, there WAS a consensus given within that document. Even though some scientists disagreed, it is reasonably to say that it represented a consensus of those who signed it. AND, that so many scientists would sign onto such a document is pretty phenomenal.
I have gotten a bit more into the details than I wanted. I am NOT going to debate here whether the above consesus or majority positions were correct or wrong, but I AM saying that to deny they exist is just denying facts. And anyone who thinks those are NOT the consensus/majority positions just has not bothered to really look at the information available.
So, john, overall... a big FAIL for you.
OH, and for the record, the reason I CAN be so sure, is that I HAVE already considered the other sides, do continue to look into dissent.
See.. that's the other big fail. Having a firm opinion doesn't necessarily mean one has ignored the other side. It CAN meant that, and yes, often times does. Sometimes, though, the evidence points in one way, and anybody looking at the evidence can really only come to one conclusion.
The Earth DOES revolve around the sun, the Earth IS round, and 2 + 2 =4. No amount of considering the other side will change those facts!