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First, if you're looking for bile and shouting, I suggest you wall Wing, Storr, or Nark. That's not my game. It seems to me that your way of gauging my reaction is similar to how creationists explain dinosaurs.legionnare wrote:Ragian's jailer claim - No possible way to clarify it today, as much as I applaud Ragian's play today after my reveal though it seems to me to be too nice and trying to stay on everyone's side, don't get me wrong I have nothing against him, just with the information currently available in play Ragian is the most likely candidate.
In short, it would be a disaster for us if we did not lynch anyone today, Ragian is the best candidate for a lynch and either way it swings we gain, if he is Mafia as I am certain he is then we obviously benefit as well as casting suspicion on those who are currently defending him so vehemently, or it turns out he is Town and the opposite is true.


Not every night action you proof that your action is successful there are a number of roles that do not, it is only really investigative roles that give you night action response flavour (or killing roles and there were no deaths)Samlen wrote:But that's just it. Ragian claimed to have jailed me and if I had attempted an action last night, I would have been able to have confirmed.There was pretty much no possible way that he knew that I had taken no action last night unless he was a mafia rolecop and investigated me last night and took the chance with assuming I didn't do anything last night. The more I think about it, the less likely it seems that ragian could be mafia since claiming jailer and claiming to have roleblocked someone since that is incredibly easy to prove.
On the subject of the daykill, it's possible that the mafia have a sniper or something like that which gets a one-time day kill ability. Then again, it could be poison and they got lucky enough to target our cop. In fact, if we go by the flavor text of the scene, it seems more likely to be poison since we found no marks on him.
Ninja'd by nag/ragian

A fair point but I wasn't necessarily meaning bile and shouting, more the change in tone from Day 1 to Day 2, seemed remarkable to me.Ragian wrote:First, if you're looking for bile and shouting, I suggest you wall Wing, Storr, or Nark. That's not my game. It seems to me that your way of gauging my reaction is similar to how creationists explain dinosaurs.legionnare wrote:Ragian's jailer claim - No possible way to clarify it today, as much as I applaud Ragian's play today after my reveal though it seems to me to be too nice and trying to stay on everyone's side, don't get me wrong I have nothing against him, just with the information currently available in play Ragian is the most likely candidate.
In short, it would be a disaster for us if we did not lynch anyone today, Ragian is the best candidate for a lynch and either way it swings we gain, if he is Mafia as I am certain he is then we obviously benefit as well as casting suspicion on those who are currently defending him so vehemently, or it turns out he is Town and the opposite is true.
Second, I agree that we should lynch today and that currently I reveal the best information. I don't necessarily agree, however, that people defending me are naturally scum/town depending on what I flip and similar for those who attack me. Scum know that I'm town, so the smart scum play would be for some scum to defend me for town cred. You need to factor that in. You should look for opportunist votes.Spoiler
Again, as much as it produces discussion points what does speculating on different methods of how it could have come about actually do other than waste time? It is needlessly muddying the situation by adding in roles that could have succeeded without any supporting information.Samlen wrote:But that's just it. Ragian claimed to have jailed me and if I had attempted an action last night, I would have been able to have confirmed.There was pretty much no possible way that he knew that I had taken no action last night unless he was a mafia rolecop and investigated me last night and took the chance with assuming I didn't do anything last night. The more I think about it, the less likely it seems that ragian could be mafia since claiming jailer and claiming to have roleblocked someone since that is incredibly easy to prove.
On the subject of the daykill, it's possible that the mafia have a sniper or something like that which gets a one-time day kill ability. Then again, it could be poison and they got lucky enough to target our cop. In fact, if we go by the flavor text of the scene, it seems more likely to be poison since we found no marks on him.
Ninja'd by nag/ragian


He is saying he can win as town even if he gets lynched if town still wins. The opposite of a third party claimTimWoodbury wrote:you can still win as town?? that reeks of 3rd party soft claim ragian. with that said id rather kill a skum then 3rd party but 3rd paty is better then killing town

No, it's not "folly." If you want to play the probability game (and you should) then you cannot merely argue that any player was as likely to be targeted as anyone else. And in this case, there's a reasonable argument to be made that smart scum who know this forum's meta wouldn't target mitch, because he often hurts town merely by existing. (With no offense meant to mitch, of course, I'm just telling it like it is. I still like playing with you, buddy.) I mean, this D2 is pretty much enough evidence for it. Of course it's not impossible that mitch would be targeted, but it's not absurd to argue that he is less likely than others to be targets, especially when you have someone as experienced as Ragian being accused of the kill.legionnare wrote: Why would Mitch be targeted for night-kill? - Why would anyone? Proceeding on the assumption that Mitch wouldn't be targeted because he is Mitch is just plain folly, he was a player with a role so was every much as likely to be targeted than anyone else.
Ok, but that wouldn't really affect the situation. A bus could explain why, if Ragian was scum and sent in a kill, it ended up on mitch and not someone else. But Ragian would still be scum, so we'd still lynch him.Adding in a bussing role - As above increases the odds, drastically in this case as we would have the same target.
I mean, we don't actually know for sure that mafia do have a night kill. But, assuming that it is the case, a more plausible alternative to your scenario is that mafia got blocked somehow last night (either roleblocked or doc-blocked) and there's a 3rd party vig with a day kill.Adding in a mafia day-kill - As much as this is balance not included, mafia having both day and night kill would end the game far too quickly, it won't be a Town day-kill that killed a cop, in a game this small I would say it's a slim likelihood that there is a 3rd party and lastly if there is a day-kill ability why was there no kill yesterday?
I thought this post was about refuting other options? This isn't a refutation.Ragian's jailer claim - No possible way to clarify it today, as much as I applaud Ragian's play today after my reveal though it seems to me to be too nice and trying to stay on everyone's side, don't get me wrong I have nothing against him, just with the information currently available in play Ragian is the most likely candidate.
It is likely that Ragian is still the best lynch candidate, and if nothing better comes up by the end of the day I'll probably put my vote back. However I think you're kind of underestimating how serious it would be to lose a jailer if you're wrong.In short, it would be a disaster for us if we did not lynch anyone today, Ragian is the best candidate for a lynch and either way it swings we gain, if he is Mafia as I am certain he is then we obviously benefit as well as casting suspicion on those who are currently defending him so vehemently, or it turns out he is Town and the opposite is true.

Dukasaur wrote:Your obsession with mrswdk is really sad.saxitoxin wrote:taking medical advice from this creature; a morbidly obese man who is 100% convinced he willed himself into becoming a woman.
ConfederateSS wrote:Just because people are idiots... Doesn't make them wrong.

Pretty sure I didn't misunderstand.Skoffin wrote:Sorry but I just do not buy that mafia, especially Ragian, chose Mitch of all people to try to night kill. Mitch is a great asset for scum team, realistically, and it just doesn't make any sort of sense as a strategy;
Fircoal wrote:Mitch: Well let's face it, mitch is a bad player. But is he this bad of a player? Maybe
Mets wrote:why would scum have targeted mitch for a kill last night, especially if Ragian was the scum in question? Totally doesn't seem his MO.
Mets wrote:Pretty sure it's not a slip, it's just mitch being mitch. You can say a lot of things about mitch, but being that bad at mafia really isn't one of them.
I only quoted this one to show that while I did start a wagon on Mitch, I clearly wasn't the only one that thought it made sense at the time.Ragian wrote:It made sense to jump on Mitch.
Dukasaur wrote:Your obsession with mrswdk is really sad.saxitoxin wrote:taking medical advice from this creature; a morbidly obese man who is 100% convinced he willed himself into becoming a woman.
ConfederateSS wrote:Just because people are idiots... Doesn't make them wrong.
Obviously, I should have left that out since it changes what I meant. So there's no way I can get angry about that. (So, I'm sorry, Mets, okay?!) I can only state that what I meant was this:Ragian wrote:It made sense to jump on Mitch. Especially, if you're not used to playing with him.
I wanted to clarify that because I never jumped on mitch. I wanted him to elaborate his confusing post.Ragian wrote:It made sense to jump on Mitch. Especially, if you're not used to playing with him.
My rambling at the top was meant as a statement declaring that I could understand that because of DDS' lack of games with Mitch. Mets, however, is not that lenient:DirtyDishSoap wrote:I'm viewing it as a slip, just poorly written.
Vote Mitchell until he has some backpedal statement.
While I still think that DDS' jump on Mitch can be excused, I need to view it in light of other things too:Metsfanmax wrote:No it didn't. Nothing in mitch's post suggested even weakly that he had targeted Legion for a kill; it was a point manufactured by DDS. But I agree that it's hard to judge DDS on this if he's unfamiliar with mitch's play. It's dakky that I'm more suspicious of, he should know better than just to blindly buy into something like this.Ragian wrote:It made sense to jump on Mitch.
First off, there's plenty of sense arguing with Legion. Not about what he has done (we can't check that, obviously), but definitely about the implications. Secondly, I don't write long posts on my phone explaining role and actions. Those posts require concentration and overview. I even made it clear in the post that I was out till that morning. You assume that I'm constantly online. That's unfair. And if your rebuttal is going to be that I could've just posted my role and action, please notice a) that I actually took my time late that night when I returned to do exactly that and b) that the post is too friggin' long to be typed properly from a phone.DirtyDishSoap wrote:Agreed, no sense in arguing with legion.
You've had until previously and (now) to write your story, I'm a little confused why we should wait if you're unwilling to explain it in the past few posts after legion made his claim?Ragian wrote:Jep. Dakky jumping on board negating himself. There's your scumster. Now, I'm out till tomorrow morning ish. Do not lynch me without my story at least. Good can come from this development.
Perhaps you're coming back to edit your story.![]()
Vote Ragian
Despite the fact that there was no sense arguing with Legion, you retract your vote. Your vote was opportunist thinking that I was going down for sure, and now that you see that I'm not instantly lynched, you're getting cold feet.DirtyDishSoap wrote:Well with that, there's nothing more to go on. I still would like to hear from Fircoal or even Skoffin at this point, whom I'm guessing are lurking about.Metsfanmax wrote:Agree with Samlen. A lot of mods won't notify you.DirtyDishSoap wrote:Wouldn't there be a notification if you were jailed regardless of action taken?
Unvote Ragian

I was on my cellphone to be fair. Gimme a break, I ain't perfect.Ragian wrote:I kept getting annoyed that that quote keeps being posted without the poper context. Revisiting my own proper context, however, I can see my initial adverb ruins my entire argument.Obviously, I should have left that out since it changes what I meant. So there's no way I can get angry about that. (So, I'm sorry, Mets, okay?!) I can only state that what I meant was this:Ragian wrote:It made sense to jump on Mitch. Especially, if you're not used to playing with him.I wanted to clarify that because I never jumped on mitch. I wanted him to elaborate his confusing post.Ragian wrote:It made sense to jump on Mitch. Especially, if you're not used to playing with him.
DDS, however, jumped on him (although you had to use two posts to vote properly):
DirtyDishSoap wrote:I'm viewing it as a slip, just poorly written.
Vote Mitchell until he has some backpedal statement.
Again, different experiences, D1's with a lynch typically end with a townie. I mean, great and all that days go on longer here on the forum, but what information did we get in D1 exactly? A few scummy posts here and there, and that's it. I'll be an advocate in this game and any future games for a no lynch on D1. That's my stance on it, if you or anyone else don't like it, then I simply won't play here. Pretty simple logic if you ask me.Ragian wrote: My rambling at the top was meant as a statement declaring that I could understand that because of DDS' lack of games with Mitch. Mets, however, is not that lenient:While I still think that DDS' jump on Mitch can be excused, I need to view it in light of other things too:Metsfanmax wrote:No it didn't. Nothing in mitch's post suggested even weakly that he had targeted Legion for a kill; it was a point manufactured by DDS. But I agree that it's hard to judge DDS on this if he's unfamiliar with mitch's play. It's dakky that I'm more suspicious of, he should know better than just to blindly buy into something like this.Ragian wrote:It made sense to jump on Mitch.
1) DDS wanted a no lynch D1 saying that usually he has little time to do anything D1 due to their brief nature. That doesn't make any sense as an argument here, though. D1 is not over quickly. Going for a no lynch D1 gets you absolutely no information to work on D2 (unless you're lucky with PRs), neither do we have any lynch vote to examine retrospectively. I.e. D1 no lynch benefits scum.
How true this applies here...Iliad wrote:The upside of calling everyone scum and making 1000 predictions is that statistically you should get a few right.
So you've had the time for a few rebuttals but no explanation? It was suspicious, nontheless. I get it, we all have lives, but when someone is commenting and reading what was has transpired, and let it sit for 2 hours in between and then just leaves, it's pretty ridiculous to think you couldn't have sat down and typed it. It's like a cliff hanger on your favorite TV show. "Tune in next time when Ragian reveals if he's scum or not!" *BUM BUM BUMMMMMM* After Legions post claiming you to be scum.Ragian wrote: 2) Reaction to Legion's revelation.
First off, there's plenty of sense arguing with Legion. Not about what he has done (we can't check that, obviously), but definitely about the implications. Secondly, I don't write long posts on my phone explaining role and actions. Those posts require concentration and overview. I even made it clear in the post that I was out till that morning. You assume that I'm constantly online. That's unfair. And if your rebuttal is going to be that I could've just posted my role and action, please notice a) that I actually took my time late that night when I returned to do exactly that and b) that the post is too friggin' long to be typed properly from a phone.DirtyDishSoap wrote:Agreed, no sense in arguing with legion.
You've had until previously and (now) to write your story, I'm a little confused why we should wait if you're unwilling to explain it in the past few posts after legion made his claim?Ragian wrote:Jep. Dakky jumping on board negating himself. There's your scumster. Now, I'm out till tomorrow morning ish. Do not lynch me without my story at least. Good can come from this development.
Perhaps you're coming back to edit your story.![]()
Vote Ragian
2 hours later (Nearly)by Ragian on Mon Feb 27, 2017 10:01 am
And it doesn't make sense to argue with Legion, who is confirmed town by non other then Mitch. Once again, the only real lead we've had in this game thus far.by Ragian on Mon Feb 27, 2017 11:56 am
I would have voted for you regardless of it being opportunistic or not after Legion made his claim. I would be suspicious of Legion if Mitch hadn't made his claim. Chances are, if Legion is wrong, he may be our next best bet for the noose. Let's also not forget that I unvoted Mitch after his claim as well.Ragian wrote: 3) Your backing downDespite the fact that there was no sense arguing with Legion, you retract your vote. Your vote was opportunist thinking that I was going down for sure, and now that you see that I'm not instantly lynched, you're getting cold feet.DirtyDishSoap wrote:Well with that, there's nothing more to go on. I still would like to hear from Fircoal or even Skoffin at this point, whom I'm guessing are lurking about.Metsfanmax wrote:Agree with Samlen. A lot of mods won't notify you.DirtyDishSoap wrote:Wouldn't there be a notification if you were jailed regardless of action taken?
Unvote Ragian
That suffices for me: Vote DDS
I know that I said that I wouldn't make any cases before I was asked, but this is going nowhere, and I feel there's enough meat on this baby.
Dukasaur wrote:Your obsession with mrswdk is really sad.saxitoxin wrote:taking medical advice from this creature; a morbidly obese man who is 100% convinced he willed himself into becoming a woman.
ConfederateSS wrote:Just because people are idiots... Doesn't make them wrong.
I honestly do not understand what you are trying to say.DirtyDishSoap wrote:Pretty sure I didn't misunderstand.Skoffin wrote:Sorry but I just do not buy that mafia, especially Ragian, chose Mitch of all people to try to night kill. Mitch is a great asset for scum team, realistically, and it just doesn't make any sort of sense as a strategy;
Fircoal wrote:Mitch: Well let's face it, mitch is a bad player. But is he this bad of a player? MaybeMets wrote:why would scum have targeted mitch for a kill last night, especially if Ragian was the scum in question? Totally doesn't seem his MO.Mets wrote:Pretty sure it's not a slip, it's just mitch being mitch. You can say a lot of things about mitch, but being that bad at mafia really isn't one of them.I only quoted this one to show that while I did start a wagon on Mitch, I clearly wasn't the only one that thought it made sense at the time.Ragian wrote:It made sense to jump on Mitch.
So, no, I didn't misinterpret, nor did I change the argument at all. Of course mafia (3rd Party?) killed Mitch after he was revealed to be cop. No brainer there.
You're the one attempting to change your own argument to fit your claim. I'm merely pointing out that several people, yourself included, had echoed that it made 0 sense for anyone to try and kill Mitch BEFORE his role claim.

Dukasaur wrote:Your obsession with mrswdk is really sad.saxitoxin wrote:taking medical advice from this creature; a morbidly obese man who is 100% convinced he willed himself into becoming a woman.
ConfederateSS wrote:Just because people are idiots... Doesn't make them wrong.
Dukasaur wrote:Your obsession with mrswdk is really sad.saxitoxin wrote:taking medical advice from this creature; a morbidly obese man who is 100% convinced he willed himself into becoming a woman.
ConfederateSS wrote:Just because people are idiots... Doesn't make them wrong.