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DICE PROBABILITY

Postby zarvinny on Tue Jul 18, 2006 12:03 am

alright ya'll, here is some dice probability for you'z. I don't know if someone has done this somewhere on the forums....



2 man country attacks 1 man country ------ attacker loses 58.3% of the time (1 dice vs 1 dice)

2 army country attacks 2 army defending country ----- attacker loses .745 armies per roll (defender .255) (1 dice vs 2)


3 army country (2 dice) attacks 1 army defender --- attacker looses .42 armies per turn

2 attacking dice vs 2 defending ---- attacker looses 1.22 --- defender loses .778 armies per roll.




When you have 3 dice vs 1 dice, you will win in one roll 66% of the time, loosing .34 armies per roll.



When it is the classic 3 dice vs 2 dice here is the breakdown:

Both sides loose 1 army 33.57% of the time.
Attacker looses 2 armies 29.25% of the time.
Defender looses 2 armies 37.16% of the time.

So, attacker looses 0.92 guys per roll, defender looses 1.079 guys per roll, the attacker looses troops 15% SLOWER, and therefore has the advantage.


Hope it helps
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Postby PaperPlunger on Tue Jul 18, 2006 12:34 am

that's not one I have found. I think your info is wrong
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Postby zip_disk on Tue Jul 18, 2006 1:33 am

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Postby zarvinny on Tue Jul 18, 2006 1:47 am

zip disk, that is almost exactly what I said... just your is in a pretty matrix :)

Paper Plunger, I think it is you who is wrong, perhaps you are using the dice records on CC :wink:
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Postby MrsMad on Tue Jul 18, 2006 8:37 am

OLD NEWS! :roll: :roll: I posted these odds a couple of weeks ago!

http://www.conquerclub.com/forum/viewtopic.php?t=2744&highlight=
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Postby Marvaddin on Tue Jul 18, 2006 10:06 am

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Postby Ronaldinho on Tue Jul 18, 2006 10:07 am

lol
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Postby AK_iceman on Tue Jul 18, 2006 10:55 am

And I posted it on another forum 2 years ago! HA!! :roll:
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Postby Ronaldinho on Tue Jul 18, 2006 10:58 am

and i tryed to .......... :wink:
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Postby Kenny_Smooth on Tue Jul 18, 2006 10:28 pm

this is the first time i've seen these odds., but they do seem to be true.


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