rishaed wrote:This is going to be a long post so bear with me.
First off, STORR WHO IS YOU LYNCH TARGET?! This is the third time i'm asking today, and I already think I know the answer, but give it to me anyways.
Here are the scenarios I've come up with:
Starting with the worst:
Virus could be lying, we have 3 scum left and this is a gamble to win the game. In this case we still don't lynch virus because its not confirmed that he's lying.
I don't think its likely, but its possible and thats whats making this puzzle difficult.
Next Scenario:
Virus is telling the truth. This scenario is better, but I think its possible we have 2 separate scum groups of 2. In which case its not Lynch or Lose (much better we have today as leeway.) In this scenario, assuming virus's information is correct >Lynch Storr (almost confirmed scum), kill AoG in the night (his claim isn't adding up, and if Mets does have the bulletproof targeting him is worthless), if we haven't killed all scum lynch mets the next day, still haven't endgamed well....I'm not sure at that point.
Next Scenario: Virus is mistaken about his info, and storr isn't lying. Well this one is improbable so I'm not going to discuss it very much here.
Something else I realized is that AoG is the only one who has claimed to have visited Wing N1, when he died. Along with a few of the other things that don't add up this makes him even more lynch worthy. The problem that i've come to is one of numbers:
If scum have 2 and we lynch Aog (and he is a lyncher) than we lose 2 go down to 5, and if IB doesn't kill scum in the night we are endgamed.
Also due to the fact that there were 3 deaths night 1 and 2 deaths night 2, and nobody is taking responsibility for the TG/Wing deaths, I either suspect AoG tried to kill me and failed (lol), and is telling the truth about who he visited, or TG had a night action that killed himself.
Anyways, from the above roles i've claimed heres the course of action I would take today: Lynch Mets. we go down to 6 (if hes scum we are one closer to winning, but if not then scum= virus/storr/Aog), IB could be scum and lying to us, but i think he is the vig. Between the three kills on night one and the scum kill n2 then I am convinced he is town vig. If hes an SK well.... We lynch him after we get rid of scum. IB kills Storrs target if the target is AoG. If not I'll let him choose between the two. Storr becomes a survivor (if hes telling the truth). If Mets and AoG are scum, then we should Endgame assuming IB is not an SK or do not have 3 scum alive. We go down to 4, because of the night kill on either NoS/Virus/Storr/IB. If there are 3 scum alive right now its Lynch or Lose anyways.
Thoughts on these scenarios.
I agree. It is a little late for secretes Storr. Though I think he addressed it as he needs to "lynch" whom AoG must target.
There could also be the possibility that the "Boss" mafia may be able to effect investigative roles? Just a theory.I reread day two to see how Virus was posting after knowing his information day two. You can see before his claim he knows something and is trying to gain clarity on the situation,just by the way he is asking questions of Storr and his actions and who he may have visited. So Yeh I can believe Virus.
Now the numbers. I believe Town to be Rish,myself and Virus.
4 players left---Can both Storr and AoG be third party?= one or two killers.
2 players= NoS and Met
The point is can there really be three anti Town in the 7 of us?
I go back and fourth with Storr and AoG---to Storrs credit he has searched out scum and has seemed to be up front.Nothing is as it seems....I would not be surprised if mafia had some ability....we were talking about the water balloon and flavor,"all evidence disappeared" I have a very crappy memory so paraphrased. You get my point.