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conspiracy of outcomes?

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conspiracy of outcomes?

Postby hugeo on Thu Apr 26, 2012 8:11 pm

i see my dice stats are .05 lower than average
which gives me about an overall 1.5% disadvantage.
over a hundred games you would think that would be less.

but more to the point i was wondering about my battle outcomes.
The full dice matchups 3-2, show me with a 1% disadvantage attacking and defending.
the thing is, my actually attack is 13% advantage, and defend is 29% disadvantage
considering that roughly 17% is average, (i think 5/6 or 83.3 is close to the true probability of winning)
my stats should show-> 3-2 attack -4%; 3-2 defend -12%; and overall maybe -7%
so why the discrepency CC?

i understand that there often feels like a 'leaders curse' that tends to give a strong player worse luck-
i mean we have all felt it right?
i have a fairly high winning percentage, which reconfirms just that,
and i understand having worse stats in lieu of it.

but why the 5% err on my dice stats for battle outcomes?
does CC want to distort our perceptions to quell the discontent?
(not that my luck bothers me, just the fact the stat is distorted)
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Re: conspiracy of outcomes?

Postby Army of GOD on Thu Apr 26, 2012 10:02 pm

lack sent me a pm saying he specifically wanted your dice to suck.
mrswdk is a ho
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