safariguy5 wrote:There's nobody else in the movie or play. Anyone not claiming something from the list, especially since we outed Victor as the marine, should be lynched automatically as their claim is obviously fake. I see no room for fakeclaiming in this setup unless Mr. Squirrel put in random townspeople roles.
If we limit ourselves to that one list it makes it far too easy just to mass-claim and work out who is scum based off the claim (I'm not suggesting we mass-claim, just that if all were in here it would be an easy win for town). A mass-claim could possibly not hurt town, the lovers are out, the cop is out, the only thing left is doc / other protective roles, and it would be hard to guess who is what simply from the characters, no particular character left fits a certain role (IMO). Maybe on the day of crazy hallucinogenic pies it won't be a good idea though.
I've been thinking the whole game scum would have fakeclaims of at least semi-major characters. From the flavour text for the end of day one I have gotten the impression that Turpin and Todd are both in this game. Since no one CC'd safari I'm willing to bet that he is Turpin, and again from the flavour text I believe that Turpin is town-alligned (read: against Todd). Even if he has his own win-condition he's definitely against Todd; who seems to be the only anti-town killer at the moment.
IMO the mafia would be Todd + Lovett. 2 person mafia in an 11 person game works, especially if one of them is a roleblocker or there's another third party.
Also as far as the hated cop role goes, [/u]I imagine there'd be one or two innocents showing up as guilty[/u], otherwise it really isn't a terribly useful role, though to be honest I really don't think Edoc claiming Beadle would fit that flavour (Turpin knows Beadle quite well). Maybe Pirelli or Fogg?
Odds of mafia hitting their target with a framer are pretty low I imagine. As far as I'm aware Saf never gave much of an indication towards who he was going to investigate. If there was a mafia alligned swapper then I doubt they would have swapped with Edoc, they probably would have swapped with one of the lovers or Yoshi. If there's a town alligned swapper that is responsible for this change they should probably come forward so we then have a better idea of the situation, but again I can't see why they'd switch Yoshi when they could have switched out among the roles they know.
Simply; I can't see the logic behind a frame or a switch on Edoc. So I have to deduce that either Saf is lieing or Edoc is scum. I believe Saf's claim, so logically I think Edoc is scum.
There is an advantage to the lynch on Edoc even if he is Beadle, we would see Beadle's allignment and would get a better idea of who is town / scum. If Beadle comes up town I think it's safe to assume Turpin is town. If he comes up scum then we may be able to follow a lead on the confirmed Turpin being scummy and bussing. Though this would be a situation we'd have to re-evaluate once we were in it.
Based off everything above I'm going to
Vote Edoc and hope that we don't have a lieing cop, a switcher or a framer.