ga7 wrote:Lol, you're bad at stats Pmc.
Hell yes, failing maths miserably. I will take your word those are the stats, but despite them I still reckon its that 1/3 chance. And yes i did just defend him again, i think im in love

Fact is, there was plenty of info in day 1 however short that was. You blatantly defended Cena even though you had no reason to, and pushed hard for Spiesr's lynch. I think either you or Spiesr is scum, it can't be both.
Then it must be speisr, you may see a claim coming.
The unknown would be the second scum then; if you're scum it's likely Cena, if Spiesr is scum it's likely Diddle, although I can't really get a read on Nag since he posted so little and could be whoever's scumbuddy.
Sounds fair.
Now let's look at our situation. We lynch a townie, we lose. We lynch a scum, there will be 1/3 chances for scum to target the cop anyway. Except if the cop did the unthinkable and investigated Spurg, he needs to come out even if his investigation was on a townie, making it 2 cleared townies and making our chances of getting scum 1/2 even on a random lynch. Considering it's LYLO, whatever raises our odds to lynch scum now is needed.
Fair enough Im the cop and i unfortunatly didn't go with my gut and investigate speisr but instead i went with you ga7 and got town.
IN SUMMARY
I am cop.
Investigated ga7- got town
Im cant do stats