C9 game - Mafia wins!

by **The1exile** on Sun Nov 09, 2008 12:23 pm

Vote Count
Didmeister: Spiesr, cena-rules (2)
Nag: Spurg (1)
Spiesr: pmchugh (1)
cena: ga7, diddle (2)
Not Voting: nag

by **spiesr** on Sun Nov 09, 2008 3:26 pm

Well, uhh...
Deadline bandwagon time?
Vote cena

by **nagerous** on Sun Nov 09, 2008 3:31 pm

I'm back, give me a second to re-read.

by **nagerous** on Sun Nov 09, 2008 3:34 pm

Right cena, lets hear a claim before I put a hammer on your ass.

by **cena-rules** on Sun Nov 09, 2008 4:19 pm

annoyingly Im a vanilla townie

by **pmchugh** on Sun Nov 09, 2008 6:37 pm

hmmm dont know whether to hammer or not, their is no evidence either way. I think the only person I can think of their being a reason behind voting for them is speisr. Reasons for voting:

spiesr-

FOS instead of vote and unable to explain why.
Attempting to simply get along with town/ appear townie.
Agreeing with everything said/ not having his own points.
backtracking
Then being casual- Inconsistant.

Cena-
Counter productive
Counter productive
Counter productive
Doesnt seem to care about bandwagon?

Personally i prefer the speir option but I know the deadline is close and unless some people agree with me and change votes then I may hammer cena.

by **spiesr** on Sun Nov 09, 2008 6:58 pm

pmchugh wrote:Meh? Very casual, almost too casual.

I wasn't intending "meh" as casual, I was going for more like annoyed disappointment...

by **ga7** on Sun Nov 09, 2008 7:07 pm

Meh, let's get Cena lynched.

by **pmchugh** on Sun Nov 09, 2008 7:29 pm

ga7 wrote:Meh, let's get Cena lynched.

very casual perhaps you are scum unvote vote ga7

Just joking, but seriously why do you think we should lynch poor old cena? unvote

by **nagerous** on Sun Nov 09, 2008 7:32 pm

Well, time is running out and I don't think there will be enough possible time for a bandwagon and claim from anyone else and vanilla is obv a scummish claim so I'll go ahead and hammer unvote vote cena

by **ga7** on Sun Nov 09, 2008 10:39 pm

pmchugh wrote:
ga7 wrote:Meh, let's get Cena lynched.

very casual perhaps you are scum unvote vote ga7

Just joking, but seriously why do you think we should lynch poor old cena? unvote

I just figured Spiesr's FOS was less of a case than Cena wagonning and you defending him.

by **ga7** on Sun Nov 09, 2008 10:42 pm

spiesr wrote:Well, uhh...
Deadline bandwagon time?
Vote cena

You never unvoted

Cena isn't lynched so.

by **The1exile** on Mon Nov 10, 2008 2:30 am

Vote Count
Didmeister: Spiesr, cena-rules (2)
Nag: Spurg (1)
cena: ga7, diddle, nag (3)
Not Voting: pmchugh

The deadline passes, there is no lynch.

it is now Night 1. Send in your night actions.

by **spurgistan** on Mon Nov 10, 2008 5:51 am

Well, there's a low-info day 1 fer ya.

by **spiesr** on Mon Nov 10, 2008 9:23 am

ga7 wrote:
spiesr wrote:Well, uhh...
Deadline bandwagon time?
Vote cena

You never unvoted Cena isn't lynched so.

Nnnnnnnnooooooo!!!!!!!!!!!!

by **pmchugh** on Mon Nov 10, 2008 1:53 pm

if i didnt realised I would have hammered.

by **The1exile** on Mon Nov 10, 2008 4:22 pm

Spurgistan (Doctor) is found dead. Sucks pour vous, town.

Day 2. You have 3 days to decide a lynch. Go.

by **ga7** on Mon Nov 10, 2008 4:53 pm

Heh, Cena's failed lynch is pretty awful since we need all the town to get a lynch on scum now. Any insight from a cop would be welcome. ><

by **spiesr** on Mon Nov 10, 2008 5:27 pm

Do think cena really is scum then?

by **spurgistan** on Mon Nov 10, 2008 6:35 pm

Damn, and I had it all figured out, too. **

**Not actually true.

by **ga7** on Mon Nov 10, 2008 6:59 pm

spiesr wrote:Do think cena really is scum then?

Not enough to just go ahead and lynch him at LYLO. I do think given the dynamics of day 1 he has 2/3 chances to be scum... I'd rather see if the cop can chip in first.

by **pmchugh** on Mon Nov 10, 2008 7:18 pm

ga7 wrote:
spiesr wrote:Do think cena really is scum then?

Not enough to just go ahead and lynch him at LYLO. I do think given the dynamics of day 1 he has 2/3 chances to be scum... I'd rather see if the cop can chip in first.

Why should the cop reveal themsleves now if they got a townie result? Without a doctor they are a sitting duck and eliminating one option should only be used to stop a lynch.

2/3 i doubt it, more like 1/5. Since I know I am not scum and there was virtually no info day 1. In fact i dont think its likely at all the people who voted or at least tried to vote cena:

ga7
diddle
nag
speisr

That means that either cena's scum buddy was voting for him or (and I know you will love this option) I am his scum buddy.

Personally from the way things have gone I think that ga7 is likely to be town, I know Im town and it therefor makes sense that cena is town. Leaving:

diddle
nag
speisr

I would prefer to lynch speisr on gut instinct, but I think we have a decent chance of winning provided we pick the right person.

Of course this falls apart if cena's scum, but im pretty sure that bandwagon wouldnt have went down so easily if he was.

by **ga7** on Mon Nov 10, 2008 7:42 pm

Lol, you're bad at stats Pmc. We are 6 alive, there is 2 scum left. There is therefore at min 1/3 chances to hit scum by lynching randomly.
Cena putted a second vote on Diddle and asked Spiesr to claim as soon as he had 2 votes but without voting him. Moreover you defended him. Cena can then be either Spiesr's scumbuddy, your scumbuddy or a stupid townie as usual. 2/3.

Fact is, there was plenty of info in day 1 however short that was. You blatantly defended Cena even though you had no reason to, and pushed hard for Spiesr's lynch. I think either you or Spiesr is scum, it can't be both. The unknown would be the second scum then; if you're scum it's likely Cena, if Spiesr is scum it's likely Diddle, although I can't really get a read on Nag since he posted so little and could be whoever's scumbuddy.

Now let's look at our situation. We lynch a townie, we lose. We lynch a scum, there will be 1/3 chances for scum to target the cop anyway. Except if the cop did the unthinkable and investigated Spurg, he needs to come out even if his investigation was on a townie, making it 2 cleared townies and making our chances of getting scum 1/2 even on a random lynch. Considering it's LYLO, whatever raises our odds to lynch scum now is needed.

by **spiesr** on Mon Nov 10, 2008 7:52 pm

Quick question, what does LYLO mean?

by **ga7** on Mon Nov 10, 2008 7:53 pm

LYnch (scum) Or LOse

C9 game - Mafia wins!

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