btownmeggy wrote:suggs wrote:I think Nap its talking utter tosh on the domestic side, but i agree with you Nap about the Vietnam war.
Its one if the great "What ifs?" If Nixon hadnt got caught ( doing what LBJ and Kennedy had done), it seems pretty likely that the US would have either won the Vietnam war, or at least got pretty decent terms.
Nixon and Kissinger were winning, and had a clear mandate. Sure, thy were winning by something not far off genocide 0 but were are not talking about whether they were justified in what they were doing, just whether it was effective.
And, as you say, by 1973, it was apparent that bombing the whole place to shit was pretty effective.
Here Meg makes an unusual error. "Unwinnable"- the vietnam war was never unwinnable - just difficult to win, as the Us is a democracy, and no democracy likes a high body count.
Kissinger was secretly bartering an end to the war before the Watergate BREAK-IN even occurred.
Johnson's Secretary of Defense said and says that an armed war was indeed unwinnable, even "a dangerous illusion".
The points I'm stressing have a great deal to do with ideology and political will, both within Vietnam and the U.S. But even tactically, the U.S. army was at great folly because they had no idea WHAT or WHO they were fighting. You're right, the bombings killed LOTS of people (that's victory, yes?)... around 1/2 of whom were (not necessarily non-partisan, but) non-militant civilians.
The war was a stain and a lie and one that the U.S. CONTINUES to lose today.
Ahh...such old fashioned, naive views which I thought existed only amongst the fairy-minded nostalgics of Mai '68 here, but no, a Texan of all people actually shares and holds dear this quixotic notion of the brave peasant nation having the bravery political will to bring the "evil empire" to its knees...
The first thing to say is that had Maréchal de Lattre de Tassigny not succumbed to his cancer, his campaign's conclusion would have finally annhilated the Viet-Minh. This myth of the determined, "invincible" peasant guerilla first arose at Dien Bien Phu, ironically, a pitched battle that surmises itself as nothing more than a military blunder. From it however, arose this legend of the undefeatable Viet-Minh fighter. If you look at Kruschev's memoirs' account of the Peace Accords, he Minh and Giap were ecstatic at what they saw as a hugely generous settlement.
Moving on to the US Campaign. Now, you fellows had some success with your Zippo Raids, and apparently killed 100.000 of the buggers in the South alone in 1967. Pushing them to throw everything into a last ditch attempt during the Tet festival. BUT, there success in getting 19 Kamikazes onto th grounds of the US embassy and killing 5 marines made it
seem back home like these people were nailing you, when actually, the overall Tet offensive killed about 77.000 Viet Cong and NVA in a fortnight, whilst a meagre 2.000 allied troops became fatalities, in what was supposed to be the Viet-Cong's great turning point of the war. After this, Westmoreland asked for an reinforcements to finish them once and for all: the result? Pathetic, cowardly, ignorant traitors in the United States betrayed their comrades on the front and pressured the US Government to end the War. Even then, it took Victor Charlie 4 years to recover, not to mentioned cause huge rifts in the Hanoi politburo. Whilst you weren't sure who you were fighting in practical terms, it's just a bare-faced lie to say there wasn't a concrete and definite goal: destroy NLF presence in the Republic of Vietnam. And you were succesful in that aim, but you allowed them to grow back time and time again by refusing to finish the job by either wiping them out for good and putting sustained pressure on the North, or even outright invading the North.
Then, Nixon was elected on the Vietnamization agenda...had he only been able to continue brandishing the threst of some form of US reprisales such as bombing the North, Hanoi would never have dared lift a finger against the South. But, simply because of domestic pressure stirred up by biased media coverage and distractions involving Watergate, it was not to be.