Conquer Club

Interesting little article I found:

http://www.lewrockwell.com/orig7/muratore5.html

It works off of several assumptions, but they all seem reasonable. Anywho, the idea is that Ron Paul certainly has a chance in the primaries, despite outward appearances.

Now imagine if the Paul turnout was over 50%? Go Ron Paul!!!!

jay_a2j wrote:Now imagine if the Paul turnout was over 50%? Go Ron Paul!!!!

Could very well be. I know I won't miss election day! Also, imagine all the military troops that will be voting for him...there are a lot, my brother in the Marines included! The troops are supporting Ron Paul more than any other candidate. And since they are the ones that have to fight this war...I say we give them what they want, a real American patriot! Go, Ron Paul!

I'll believe it when I see Ron Paul standing victorious. January 3rd is getting very close.

did we learn anything from the first time bush got elected? do you really think ron paul can rig the election like bush did? woo hoo! vote rebublican again!

CoffeeCream wrote:I'll believe it when I see Ron Paul standing victorious. January 3rd is getting very close.

How did you know my birthday? So what are you going to give me?

Iliad wrote:

CoffeeCream wrote:I'll believe it when I see Ron Paul standing victorious. January 3rd is getting very close.

How did you know my birthday? So what are you going to give me?

Punch in the nose?

There is but one way Ron Paul can win
Blackjack!

Iliad wrote:

CoffeeCream wrote:I'll believe it when I see Ron Paul standing victorious. January 3rd is getting very close.

How did you know my birthday? So what are you going to give me?

A quick karate chop to the throat?

Iliad wrote:

CoffeeCream wrote:I'll believe it when I see Ron Paul standing victorious. January 3rd is getting very close.

How did you know my birthday? So what are you going to give me?

mine too

jay_a2j wrote:Now imagine if the Paul turnout was over 50%? Go Ron Paul!!!!

Wow! Over 50%, that's what, 2.5% of republicans? Unbelievable!

unriggable wrote:

jay_a2j wrote:Now imagine if the Paul turnout was over 50%? Go Ron Paul!!!!

Wow! Over 50%, that's what, 2.5% of republicans? Unbelievable!

2.5% of Republicans out of the 7.8% who actually vote in the primaries is a sizable fraction.

OnlyAmbrose wrote:

unriggable wrote:

jay_a2j wrote:Now imagine if the Paul turnout was over 50%? Go Ron Paul!!!!

Wow! Over 50%, that's what, 2.5% of republicans? Unbelievable!

2.5% of Republicans out of the 7.8% who actually vote in the primaries is a sizable fraction.

Keep in mind that it isn't as a whole, it's state-by-state. Since his popularity is over the internet I'd say theres an even spread over the nation, which really means that he is unlikely to win any states, never mind more than anyone else.

Ron Paul, A pro-life libertarian.

He'll get a lot of votes, but he'll lose the women and pro-choice votes.

vtmarik wrote:Ron Paul, A pro-life libertarian.

He'll get a lot of votes, but he'll lose the women and pro-choice votes.

Yeah, I doubt he'd stack up well against most democrats.

unriggable wrote:

OnlyAmbrose wrote:

unriggable wrote:

jay_a2j wrote:Now imagine if the Paul turnout was over 50%? Go Ron Paul!!!!

Wow! Over 50%, that's what, 2.5% of republicans? Unbelievable!

2.5% of Republicans out of the 7.8% who actually vote in the primaries is a sizable fraction.

Keep in mind that it isn't as a whole, it's state-by-state. Since his popularity is over the internet I'd say theres an even spread over the nation, which really means that he is unlikely to win any states, never mind more than anyone else.

I don't see what that has to do with anything. 7.8% of Republicans nationally go to vote on primary day, and 2.5% of Republicans nationally support Ron Paul. Even if that number ISN'T evenly distributed throughout the states, he's bound to win several states assuming voter turnout for him is above average - which it is likely to be, given the enthusiasm of his supporters.

jay_a2j wrote:Why Ron Paul MUST win

Because he's racist? And he's FOR the constitution!

Don't forget - He's not attracting individuals, he's attracting right-wing idiots.

jay_a2j wrote:Why Ron Paul MUST win

A question jay. If there this big conspiracy including some kind of illuminati and the new world order And these are really powerful people why are you still posting? If they have the power to rule the world surely they have the power to edit some stuff on the internet. And delete videos. So jay?

OnlyAmbrose wrote:

unriggable wrote:

OnlyAmbrose wrote:

unriggable wrote:

jay_a2j wrote:Now imagine if the Paul turnout was over 50%? Go Ron Paul!!!!

Wow! Over 50%, that's what, 2.5% of republicans? Unbelievable!

2.5% of Republicans out of the 7.8% who actually vote in the primaries is a sizable fraction.

Keep in mind that it isn't as a whole, it's state-by-state. Since his popularity is over the internet I'd say theres an even spread over the nation, which really means that he is unlikely to win any states, never mind more than anyone else.

I don't see what that has to do with anything. 7.8% of Republicans nationally go to vote on primary day, and 2.5% of Republicans nationally support Ron Paul. Even if that number ISN'T evenly distributed throughout the states, he's bound to win several states assuming voter turnout for him is above average - which it is likely to be, given the enthusiasm of his supporters.

No-one's produced any figures for likely turnout of voters in the Ron Paul camp as opposed to other camps. Also do you think maybe if it looks like Ron Paul is doing well other Republicans who usually wouldn't bother will decide to get out and vote to keep the loon away? I think thats certainly a possibility...

I wouldn't have thought there would be much difference between Ron Paul supporters and any others. A lot of Ron Paul supporters we see on the net seem to be a lot of talk, but little else. You watch.

Anybody care to put their money where their mouth is and place a small wager, I have a years premium that says Big Ron wont get the primary.

Iliad wrote:

jay_a2j wrote:Why Ron Paul MUST win

A question jay. If there this big conspiracy including some kind of illuminati and the new world order And these are really powerful people why are you still posting? If they have the power to rule the world surely they have the power to edit some stuff on the internet. And delete videos. So jay?

Do you really believe that? So this group of people should be able to find and deal with any and all that disclose info. about them? They are powerful, not God.

jay_a2j wrote:

Iliad wrote:

jay_a2j wrote:Why Ron Paul MUST win

A question jay. If there this big conspiracy including some kind of illuminati and the new world order And these are really powerful people why are you still posting? If they have the power to rule the world surely they have the power to edit some stuff on the internet. And delete videos. So jay?

Do you really believe that? So this group of people should be able to find and deal with any and all that disclose info. about them? They are powerful, not God.

You really believe that it takes a lot of power to delete stuff on the internet?

jay_a2j wrote:

Iliad wrote:

jay_a2j wrote:Why Ron Paul MUST win

A question jay. If there this big conspiracy including some kind of illuminati and the new world order And these are really powerful people why are you still posting? If they have the power to rule the world surely they have the power to edit some stuff on the internet. And delete videos. So jay?

Do you really believe that? So this group of people should be able to find and deal with any and all that disclose info. about them? They are powerful, not God.

jay_a2j: subverting the most powerful people on the planet, one youtube™ link at a time

comic boy wrote:Anybody care to put their money where their mouth is and place a small wager, I have a years premium that says Big Ron wont get the primary.

That's a fool's bet, there's no chance Ron Paul gets the nomination.