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Top economics rubbish anti-Brexit scare stories

PostPosted: Fri Dec 07, 2018 10:17 am
by mrswdk
As the UK deep state gets increasingly desparate to terrify its citizens into staying in the EU (e.g. stories that Brexit will cause traffic to get worse), leading economics including Paul Krugman (a Nobel laureate economist) and Mervyn King (head of the Bank of England for 10 years) are lining up to pour cold water on the succession of shrill news stories predicting Brexit will cause society to collapse:

The Bank of England’s prediction that civilisation will end with Brexit is merely an effort to outdo in shrillness similar analyses by the Treasury and the IMF.

All official agencies, trapped in an echo chamber, are competing to paint the grimmest picture of economic consequences of a British exit from the European Union. They are straining so hard because their projected costs of exit have no basis in economic theory or empirical findings.

“I don’t understand how you can get that kind of cost without making some big ad hoc assumptions,” tweeted Nobel laureate Paul Krugman.

When he uses the expression “big ad hoc assumptions”, he is saying the Bank is making up the numbers.

Mervyn King, who headed the Bank between 2003 and 2013, says he sadly “concurs” with Krugman’s assessment.


https://www.independent.co.uk/news/busi ... 70416.html

Re: Top economics rubbish anti-Brexit scare stories

PostPosted: Sat Dec 08, 2018 7:11 pm
by spurgistan
Yes, it's probably not going to be earth-shatteringly terrible, just really bad and a colossal unforced error. That is what the article is saying.

They talk about a .5% hit in GDP and 2-3% for adjustment cost like it's nothing. That's 2.5%-3.5% of GDP. That's significant.

Re: Top economics rubbish anti-Brexit scare stories

PostPosted: Sat Dec 08, 2018 7:30 pm
by mrswdk
No it doesn't. It says the most likely outcomes are the Brexit will result in either modest losses or modest gains for the UK economy, i.e. the economic impacts either way will be pretty small.

Re: Top economics rubbish anti-Brexit scare stories

PostPosted: Sat Dec 08, 2018 7:39 pm
by DoomYoshi
I heard from a friend that Brexit will result in everyone turning into Symmetry.

Re: Top economics rubbish anti-Brexit scare stories

PostPosted: Sat Dec 08, 2018 7:45 pm
by HitRed
DoomYoshi wrote:I heard from a friend that Brexit will result in everyone turning into Symmetry.


*silent scream*

Re: Top economics rubbish anti-Brexit scare stories

PostPosted: Sun Dec 09, 2018 2:48 pm
by riskllama
eep!!!

Re: Top economics rubbish anti-Brexit scare stories

PostPosted: Sun Dec 09, 2018 7:04 pm
by armati
I wonder if the people in Britain understand the banks are in control.
They decide if there will be inflation,destruction of the economy or boom times.

I hope they do.

Re: Top economics rubbish anti-Brexit scare stories

PostPosted: Mon Dec 10, 2018 8:51 am
by warmonger1981
armati wrote:I wonder if the people in Britain understand the banks are in control.
They decide if there will be inflation,destruction of the economy or boom times.

I hope they do.



That's called the Square Mile in London. They run financing. Washington DC runs military and the Vatican runs the religuous.

Re: Top economics rubbish anti-Brexit scare stories

PostPosted: Mon Dec 10, 2018 8:54 am
by 2dimes
The Vatican? Maybe they used to.

Where does Walmart and Amazon fit in?

Re: Top economics rubbish anti-Brexit scare stories

PostPosted: Mon Dec 10, 2018 9:50 am
by mrswdk
The Amazon produces those fish that swim up your pee and latch onto the inside of your penis.

Re: Top economics rubbish anti-Brexit scare stories

PostPosted: Mon Dec 10, 2018 10:04 am
by Dukasaur
mrswdk wrote:The Amazon produces those fish that swim up your pee and latch onto the inside of your penis.


They have those in the Philippines, also. Ergo, no monopoly power to the Amazon!

Re: Top economics rubbish anti-Brexit scare stories

PostPosted: Mon Dec 10, 2018 3:25 pm
by tzor
I was hoping for the "perfect storm."
Brexit
Trump
Trade negotiations ...
...
Haggis Exports! :twisted:

Re: Top economics rubbish anti-Brexit scare stories

PostPosted: Mon Dec 10, 2018 4:46 pm
by Dukasaur