notyou2 wrote:I must admit I am ignorant of the nomination process but learning.
Well, then you should try to accept that Bernie is most likely already finished. The picture should be quite clear after Super Tuesday. The super delegates just aren't going to support Bernie. Hillary is going to get pretty much all of them and the pledged delegates will be at best split between them.
Sanders only chance is to have flat out landslide wins which just isn't going to happen. Even if Sanders gets 55% of the vote in a particular state, that won't be near enough to get enough delegates. Sanders has to crush and get 75%+ of the popular vote in virtually every state and no where in the primaries has he done that well and he
still wouldn't win very many super delegates (if any).
It kinda sucks because Hillary is absolutely horrible, she should be facing criminal charges. Bernie should also shoulder a big amount of the blame for his failed campaign because that idiot
defended Clinton. Bernie should be pounding on not only her connections to the big banks but also her criminality in the past. But as we remember in the debates "we're sick of hearing about those damn e-mails". Bernie just digs his own campaign grave saying stuff like that.
Does anyone thing that the Republicans are going to give Hillary a pass in the general election? Bernie does her no favors by playing with kid gloves and he sinks his own campaign.
The only thing you really have to understand about the Presidential primaries, not, is that who runs for President for whichever party is decided not by the regular voters but instead by a very small, select group of party leaders and elite insiders, all of whom pretty much can't stand Sanders (in the case of the democratic party).
You're prediction of the Democrat president is also not based in reality. All you need to do is go back and look throughout American history and where a party that has a two term incumbent President rarely wins the Presidency at the end of the incumbents terms.
The pendulum swings at a fairly consistent manner.
You had Bush Jr won two terms, in comes Obama.
Before that you had Clinton with two terms, in comes Bush Jr.
Reagan was an exception, he had two terms and Bush Sr wins but he loses his bid for reelection.
Nixon won two terms, resigned at the beginning of his second term, Ford takes over and loses to Carter.
Eisenhower two terms, Kennedy wins next.
Truman won reelection after taking over for FDR, Eisenhower then wins.
FDR is the second exception with 4 terms and his case is markedly different and unique.
But you see the trend here, one party has the presidency for two terms, the American people get sick of that particular party in charge and elect someone from the other party. Since FDR there has been only one exception, Reagan followed by Bush and that didn't go well for Bush.
Since FDR the democrats have never held the office of President for two terms and then won again at the end of that President's two terms.
The trend will most likely continue especially when it's Hillary running. No one likes Hillary because no one trusts Hillary.
The absolute best thing that could happen if the democrats want to win this election cycle would be Hillary getting indicted. This would not mean Bernie would get to run for President. Hillary getting taken out by the FBI and the DOJ would allow the Dem's to run with Plan B.
Come Hell or High water there is no way the Democratic Party is going to let Bernie Sanders run for President.
I think the political scientists give the Republican's a base 67% chance of winning the White House regardless of the candidate. When you start plugging in specific scenarios it gets even worse for the Democrats. If you want the Democrats to have a reasonable chance to win the White House then you best hope Cruz or Rubio wins the nomination.
Trump is forecast at the moment to be 97% to win against Hillary and 99% to win against Sanders if Trump is the nominee.
You can laugh and roll your eyes if you want and Trump is quite unpalatable but he knows how to run against these people because he's tapped into the same thing that Bernie taps into. The absolute disgust, anger and general feed up attitude the American people have with both parties.
Never will you find Trump agreeing with any of the other candidates on anything except one. Bernie Sanders. Look it up yourself, one at least two issues Trump has said he agrees with Bernie. For the rest of the candidates, Republican and Democrat (Hillary) Trump pones them over and over again.
If you wanna really understand why Hillary, Bernie, Cruz, Rubio are all screwed against Trump, then read this article (How America Made Donald Trump Unstoppable) in Rolling Stone by Matt Taibbi. He explains exactly why Trump has ascended and he is correct.
http://www.rollingstone.com/politics/ne ... e-20160224
There's a Republican establishment movement working hard to find a way to knock down Trump, but it ain't going to happen. They say that Trump is not a Republican and he's a liberal.
The insults and accusations have torn up the unity of the Republican Party.
who of course if also a candidate for the rich, the banks and the corporations.
