jusplay4fun wrote:"A few more" is a relative term. I would think that those who have kept up with the details of this disease understand that concept, such as # of deaths per million people is a state or country. Realize that there are some 330 plus Million people in the USA, so 70,000 of 330 million is "relatively FEW".
As I said, this COVID-19 is like a bad FLU; here is my supporting data:
69,128 deaths in USA due to COVID-19, as of 5/4/20
Per CDC, the # of deaths due to influenza (flu) is between 12,000 and 61, 000 in the USA (2011-12 season up to 2018-19 season)
https://www.cdc.gov/flu/about/burden/index.htmlNow I am not saying each life lost is NOT important, but we need to understand the MAGNITUDE of this disease.
Actually, I read a really interesting article today about this Covid vs. Influenza debate.
https://blogs.scientificamerican.com/observations/comparing-covid-19-deaths-to-flu-deaths-is-like-comparing-apples-to-oranges/I think you should read the whole article, but if you don't have time, I'll quote the most significant passage:
The 25,000 to 69,000 numbers that Trump cited do not represent counted flu deaths per year; they are estimates that the CDC produces by multiplying the number of flu death counts reported by various coefficients produced through complicated algorithms. These coefficients are based on assumptions of how many cases, hospitalizations, and deaths they believe went unreported. In the last six flu seasons, the CDC’s reported number of actual confirmed flu deaths—that is, counting flu deaths the way we are currently counting deaths from the coronavirus—has ranged from 3,448 to 15,620, which far lower than the numbers commonly repeated by public officials and even public health experts.
There is some logic behind the CDC’s methods. There are, of course, some flu deaths that are missed, because not everyone who contracts the flu gets a flu test. But there are little data to support the CDC’s assumption that the number of people who die of flu each year is on average six times greater than the number of flu deaths that are actually confirmed. In fact, in the fine print, the CDC’s flu numbers also include pneumonia deaths.
The 69,000 deaths (well, getting close to 70,000 and probably will be by morning) by Covid in the U.S. are
actual, verified cases. The "25,000 to 69,000" flu deaths are an estimate, based on various assumptions (such as assuming that most flu cases are not recorded as such; that many cases, being among very old people, are just recorded as "natural causes") The actual
tested and verified number of flu deaths in the U.S. is between 3500 and 16,000, a vastly lower number.
I think you will agree that comparing tested and verified cases for one disease versus estimates for the other is not the logical way to compare these. One should always compare apples to apples and oranges to oranges, at least whenever possible. If you compare the 70,000 tested and verified Covid deaths to the 3,448 to 15,620 tested and verified Influenza deaths, a very different picture emerges. By that measure, Covid has already killed between 5 times and 20 times the number of people as Influenza usually does. And, needless to say, it's not done yet.
I don't necessarily disagree with your main thesis. I think the lockdowns are blunt instruments and there are far more focused ways to fight the disease. But I do think it's important to know what we're talking about. An apples to apples comparison shows Covid as being far, far worse than Influenza.