demonfork wrote:Metsfanmax wrote:mrswdk wrote:And one doesn't need to have access to a gun to find a method of killing themselves quickly.
Why do so many insist that this discussion must be had in extreme qualitative terms instead of the actual quantitative terms that are relevant for public policy? Yes, obviously, some people will still commit suicide without access to a gun. But it
will be fewer people. And since more than half of gun deaths occur this way, it seems like a pretty reasonable thing to consider when focusing on gun control legislation.
Another stupid fucking article...
When oven technology changed to less dangerous natural gas, fewer people had an easy means of suicide in their home. Only some people found another suicide method, and the suicide rate fell substantially.
Correlation does not imply causation.
Yes, this is exactly the same comment made by every single person who doesn't like the results of a scientific study and assumes that they are clever enough to realize this but not the actual scientists who did the study. If you ever look at a study and think "correlation does not imply causation," then congratulate yourself for being the 9,000th person to have this thought, and then shut up and actually read the study to figure out whether they found a causal link or not.
Just because suicide rates supposedly dropped when better oven technology hit the market doesn't mean that this was the factor that caused the rate to fall.
So as an example, if you had even read the
abstract of the study in question, you would know that this was accounted for. For example, they found that over the period in question when the total suicide rate fell in the UK, the suicide rate due to
non-gas methods actually
increased over that period. (And they also provide reasons why other factors are unlikely to explain the situation either.) So that indicates that this wasn't, for example, purely caused by some general trend of people just being less willing to commit suicide in general.
Do I even need to fucking argue this?
Actually, yes, if you want anyone to believe that you understand public health issues better than public health professionals, you do in fact need to provide some evidence for your claim. Scientific research is not perfect and it is indeed hard to control for correlation perfectly and prove causality beyond a shadow of a doubt. But if you want to actually make a valid contribution, you need to do better than "correlation is not causation" and engage with the specifics of the research in question.
Check Australia's suicide rates... they remained flat after they banned guns.
I don't know this statistic offhand, but I will look it up. However that's not necessarily a relevant argument. The question is whether, if you decrease the availability of guns, that will have a causal influence on the suicide rate that makes it decrease. Policymakers cannot guarantee that there is not some other societal trend that will happen at the same and offset the benefits of the policy. However it could be possible that if the gun policy weren't changed, then the total suicide rate would
increase due to whatever other trend there was affecting the suicide rate. Flat is better than increasing.