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How More Americans Carrying Firearms Would

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How More Americans Carrying Firearms Would

Postby Phatscotty on Thu Dec 10, 2015 2:49 am

Say it were true 25% of American citizens carried firearms. That's 1 in 4. Plug those hypothetical numbers into a recent shooting such as in California. or really any headline where a mass murderer has shot 17 people, or wounded 25 people. Where 25 people were wounded, the odds are that 6 of those wounded 25 people had a gun on them. How does the number get up to 25 wounded? I think it's easy to say a mass murderer would be stopped by one of the wounded people far before the number got to 25.

Of course the caveat here is that this situation concerning location would not apply in places such as schools or court houses, but we can assume that if
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Re: How More Americans Carrying Firearms Would

Postby iAmCaffeine on Fri Dec 11, 2015 9:35 am

if what Scotty? Come on, man! Do you have dementia? That may explain why this thread sits in half existence whilst your other is marching forth.
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Re: How More Americans Carrying Firearms Would

Postby PLAYER57832 on Fri Dec 11, 2015 10:43 am

Phatscotty wrote:Say it were true 25% of American citizens carried firearms. That's 1 in 4. Plug those hypothetical numbers into a recent shooting such as in California. or really any headline where a mass murderer has shot 17 people, or wounded 25 people. Where 25 people were wounded, the odds are that 6 of those wounded 25 people had a gun on them. How does the number get up to 25 wounded? I think it's easy to say a mass murderer would be stopped by one of the wounded people far before the number got to 25.

Of course the caveat here is that this situation concerning location would not apply in places such as schools or court houses, but we can assume that if

This is a very old debate. Actually, the one place that I think we might use more guns is schools (WELL trained individuals ONLY who volunteer to do so), and court houses (again, trained, but should be mandatory for more people working there).

Per the rest, I cite the owner of Red Jacket (an arms manufacturer, aka show Sons of Guns -- definitely NOT talking a liberal gun phobe), when he took a prospective client down to the gun range before selling him a gun, to show them what might happen if they had a gun and tried to face an intruder.

The real issue is that anyone having a gun has to either be lucky or have some pretty serious training to be effective in self-defense. And that means something well beyond simple target shooting or even shooting things like trap/sporting clays and even hunting. None of those have much potential to shoot back. Also, there is a definite difference between shooting a rifle/shotgun and a pistol on top of that. Sadly, those using guns for evil tend to have that training and most of the general public, regardless of their opinion about guns, just does not have the ability, the time and money (we are talking about some serious time and money) or they lack the desire to do it.

When you talk about prevention, there are really 4 different situations:

1. intentional, planned terroristic type individuals. The answer here is largely for people to pay attention to things happening around them, get to know their neighbors, etc, BUT NOT to be assuming that they need to be suspicious of "certain individuals". Ironically,research shows that this pushback may well be what terrorists intend, because their whole goal is to create division. Put it this way.. I may not go to church every Sunday, but nothing would get me there more quickly than being told I cannot go or that Christians as a whole are bad people, etc.!

2. psycopathic killer (using this as a generic term, not a clinical term, to mean any wacko who decides to go shoot people). The best defense against these people is a combination of better psychological services and specific, directed and limited legislation to prevent those with very real issues from buying guns. Thankfully, even the NRA is just beginning to come around to that, though some of that is just lip service.

3. People involved in domestic violence/ prior attack situations. This is tricky because many of these can actually be perfectly OK. Also, in many cases these people have legal firearms already, show no real indicators that they might "blow". Also, its very easy for people to make false "victim" claims in disputes and it can be tricky to distinguish that type of situation from real threats. Most people with protection from abuse orders and such already are prohibited from buying guns, but they don't always have to relinquish guns they have in their possession already.

4. The random act. Too often there is just no real, outward predictor. More research might help. Sadly, the NRA pushed through rules that have heavily stifled the collection of information, stating that the plans to collect were basically just a liberal political plot. We need data, real, scientifically base data that shows real information, and that data needs to be collected without regard to the political implications, just science.
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Re: How More Americans Carrying Firearms Would

Postby tzor on Fri Dec 11, 2015 11:54 am

I don't think we need to go into complex math on this one. Riddle me this, why do so many mass shootings take place in a gun free zone?

That's a serious question. It's not like every place is loaded with guns save a gun free zone. To the minds of people trying to commit these mass shootings, it's not that someone will shoot them it is that someone might shoot them. The gun free zone eliminates this possibility. So the real question is not how fast someone can respond to the shooter, but that there is a chance that someone might respond to the shooter in such time as to thwart his perverted pleasure to see as much gore as possible before he is killed.

This is more than just mass shooters. Let's say you are a campus rapist. If you thought there was a reasonable chance that your victim was armed and would shot you instead of surrendering to your assault you would probably choose another location. The potential to foil the act leads to a reluctance to do the act in the first place. This is less of a question of response time than a question of playing head games with those who want to promote violence to others.
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Re: How More Americans Carrying Firearms Would

Postby Kevi on Fri Dec 11, 2015 5:31 pm

Only the good guys should have guns.

[YouTube]https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NEKCJlYtUwc[/YouTube]
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Re: How More Americans Carrying Firearms Would

Postby PLAYER57832 on Fri Dec 11, 2015 6:16 pm

tzor wrote:I don't think we need to go into complex math on this one. Riddle me this, why do so many mass shootings take place in a gun free zone?

That's a serious question. It's not like every place is loaded with guns save a gun free zone.


Actually, it might be a serious question, but its not a true one. So many mass shootings happen in gun free zones because most places ARE gun free zones. if you take this proportionally -- the number of mass shootings in gun free zones, versus the number in areas where there are prominent guns, then you realize that a lot of shootings happen where there are guns .. aka Fort Hood, etc. The reason it seems otherwise is just because there are not so many mass shootings, and we tend to center in our memories ones that happen in schools and the like, because they are so heart-wrenching.

AND.. to get back to one of the points I made earlier, while we can get statistics on the biggest mass shootings, there is no real consistent data on shootings or gun ownership. Without that, it is impossible to make any real and true assessment, and that is part of the biggest problem.

Or, to put it another way, its like the old joke "where is the most dangerous place?" -- answer, "bed, because more people die there". Just looking at results doesn't tell us much, we need to know WHY. In this case, there are some old arguments, making guns illegal does not prevent criminals from having them, just law abiding folks. Also, eliminating guns in no way eliminated other types of mass violence.. aka bombs. My "gut feeling" is that while we may have more mass shootings per capita, we likely have fewer bombing per capita. Personally, I would rather deal with guns than bombs!

That is even aside from the fact that in the US, guns are so much a part of our culture that eliminating them entirely is not going to happen, at least not without some major sociological and political changes.
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Re: How More Americans Carrying Firearms Would

Postby tzor on Sun Dec 13, 2015 2:00 pm

PLAYER57832 wrote:Actually, it might be a serious question, but its not a true one. So many mass shootings happen in gun free zones because most places ARE gun free zones.


Actually that is not the case. There are a plethora of places of mass congregation that are not officially labeled "gun free zones." They include shopping malls and movie theatres. The only mass shootings in movie theatres have taken place in those theatres that specifically proclaim themselves to be "gun free zones." The sign itself acts as a magnet.

Now on the other hand, if the sign read, "This is a gun free zone. If you attempt to use a gun in this zone, our ARMED GUARDS, will shoot you." I guarantee no mass shooters would be attracted to the location.

It really does work in courthouses.
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Re: How More Americans Carrying Firearms Would

Postby mrswdk on Sun Dec 13, 2015 2:50 pm

The discussion on gun control in the United States revolves almost entirely around mass shootings. I have not heard in the last two or three years any discussion about gun violence having to do with anything other than mass shootings. I bet someone could make up a nice chart showing how many more other gun related deaths occurred on the same day as a mass shooting to point out how ridiculous the "solving for mass shooting" conversation is.

The more I get educated about this stuff, the more I realize unless the United States outlaws all guns, we're not going to solve any problems by imposing more restrictions (the caveat to that is that there are probably intelligent restrictions we can use). Like I indicated in another thread, there is already a law, applicable nationwide, that prohibits felons from owning guns. That does not seem to work all that well, so what is the purpose of imposing additional restrictions, other than to increase the size and cost of federal and state governments, thereby increasing the number of people (and power of those people) in federal and state employees unions? Sorry, that last sentence got a little out of control.
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Re: How More Americans Carrying Firearms Would

Postby PLAYER57832 on Sun Dec 13, 2015 3:02 pm

tzor wrote:
PLAYER57832 wrote:Actually, it might be a serious question, but its not a true one. So many mass shootings happen in gun free zones because most places ARE gun free zones.


Actually that is not the case. There are a plethora of places of mass congregation that are not officially labeled "gun free zones." They include shopping malls and movie theatres. The only mass shootings in movie theatres have taken place in those theatres that specifically proclaim themselves to be "gun free zones." The sign itself acts as a magnet.

Now on the other hand, if the sign read, "This is a gun free zone. If you attempt to use a gun in this zone, our ARMED GUARDS, will shoot you." I guarantee no mass shooters would be attracted to the location.

It really does work in courthouses.

Well, if that last were true, then Fort Hood would not have happened -- and we would not have had the several court house shootings we have had, either.
I don't think there is anywhere near enough data to show that this is really true. What we have is spotty and inconsistent. A lot is collected with one idea already in mind, the data is just to confirm what the proponents believe. There are a lot of studies making a lot of claims, but when you weed out the bias' , there is no real statistical significance beyond what can be attributed to many other factors. Your example of theaters and shopping malls, for example... even if they post "gun free", generally they cannot prevent someone with a concealed weapon permit from carrying. And, with our without that posting, there are just a lot of places where people can carry, but generally don't. We don't carry a gun when going for a walk or to church, for example. (actually, in some areas we will.. but its a rifle, not a pistol or other concealed weapon)

We really need more data.

Also, as I mentioned earlier, if we get rid of guns only to find terrorists turning more to bombs, is that really a "win" for society?

mrswdk wrote:The discussion on gun control in the United States revolves almost entirely around mass shootings. I have not heard in the last two or three years any discussion about gun violence having to do with anything other than mass shootings. I bet someone could make up a nice chart showing how many more other gun related deaths occurred on the same day as a mass shooting to point out how ridiculous the "solving for mass shooting" conversation is.
Very true. Its like the difference between an airplane crash and car deaths. Airplanes scare people more, but far more people die in cars than airplanes.

mrswdk wrote:The more I get educated about this stuff, the more I realize unless the United States outlaws all guns, we're not going to solve any problems by imposing more restrictions (the caveat to that is that there are probably intelligent restrictions we can use). Like I indicated in another thread, there is already a law, applicable nationwide, that prohibits felons from owning guns. That does not seem to work all that well, so what is the purpose of imposing additional restrictions, other than to increase the size and cost of federal and state governments, thereby increasing the number of people (and power of those people) in federal and state employees unions? Sorry, that last sentence got a little out of control.
First, outlaying all guns is just not tenable in this country. Even if it were, I don't think places that have outlawed guns have really eliminated violence in a way that would apply here. That is, you might get some lesser violence if you took guns from a particular block in LA or NY. However, you would not get the same impact here -- not to mention even trying would probably start WWIII in and of itself (and I am not joking there!) We probably have far more guns per capita in our small community than even the most hard core inner city area. Then you have the argument greekdog already voiced.. that laws just limit legal ownership, they do nothing to prevent criminals from holding.

What we need above all else is data. Beyond that, my gut feeling, feeling of my experience here (in many parts of the US), is that we can use some specific control issues. We also need things like better counseling, better ways to identify individuals who are at risk of violence without also limiting the freedom and rights of people who, say, might be depressed or mad a their boss, but are not going to take a gun and start shooting everyone.
Last edited by PLAYER57832 on Sun Dec 13, 2015 3:13 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: How More Americans Carrying Firearms Would

Postby Metsfanmax on Sun Dec 13, 2015 3:11 pm

PLAYER57832 wrote:Also, as I mentioned earlier, if we get rid of guns only to find terrorists turning more to bombs, is that really a "win" for society?


A motivated individual can kill a lot more people with a bomb, and with a lot lower risk of dying, than by walking into a public place and shooting. If terrorists wanted to use bombs, they already would be using them. What evidence is there to suggest that they would start using them if guns became harder to obtain, when they're not even using them now and they're much more efficient than guns?

And anyway, yes. The vast majority of gun deaths aren't from terrorists. Continuing to talk about mass shootings is exactly what gun control opponents should want us to do: we just debate on and on about whether people armed with guns could stop them, meanwhile the ten thousand other gun deaths each year just fade into the background.
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Re: How More Americans Carrying Firearms Would

Postby PLAYER57832 on Sun Dec 13, 2015 3:15 pm

Metsfanmax wrote:
PLAYER57832 wrote:Also, as I mentioned earlier, if we get rid of guns only to find terrorists turning more to bombs, is that really a "win" for society?


A motivated individual can kill a lot more people with a bomb, and with a lot lower risk of dying, than by walking into a public place and shooting. If terrorists wanted to use bombs, they already would be using them. What evidence is there to suggest that they would start using them if guns became harder to obtain, when they're not even using them now and they're much more efficient than guns?

There isn't enough data to say, that's part of many problems. Its just one of the many possibilities we have to address.

My feeling (and its only that) is that there is an attraction to guns, at least in the US, as being somehow "macho" or such than bombs. I am not going to argue that strongly, but the idea of pointing a gun at a person and shooting seems fundamentally different from pushing a button and killing.

Metsfanmax wrote:And anyway, yes. The vast majority of gun deaths aren't from terrorists.
Very true.
You posted while I was responding to mrs, but basically, right now its just opinions. We need more data.
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Re: How More Americans Carrying Firearms Would

Postby Metsfanmax on Sun Dec 13, 2015 3:19 pm

mrswdk wrote:The more I get educated about this stuff, the more I realize unless the United States outlaws all guns, we're not going to solve any problems by imposing more restrictions (the caveat to that is that there are probably intelligent restrictions we can use). Like I indicated in another thread, there is already a law, applicable nationwide, that prohibits felons from owning guns. That does not seem to work all that well, so what is the purpose of imposing additional restrictions, other than to increase the size and cost of federal and state governments, thereby increasing the number of people (and power of those people) in federal and state employees unions? Sorry, that last sentence got a little out of control.


I think this is an area that needs much more investigation. Even when it comes to background checks, there is sort of the assumption that we actually know who IS a
"violent criminal" who ought not to own a gun. Of course, there are plenty of obvious folks. Even the NRA leadership is happy to keep serial killers and most pschopaths away from guns. However, once you get past that, the definitions get tricky.

"Felon", for example tends to make one think of murders and such, but can include someone who, say, was arrested for blocking a nuclear power plant when they were in college or who was growing more than x amount of marihuana during times when enforcement was strict. While I am not suggesting these people ought to be nominated for "upstanding citizen" awards, is giving them a gun really going to endanger the rest of us?

On the other hand, as I already mentioned, people who abuse animals may only get a minor penalty... but might well be giving us a pretty good indication that they are truly dangerous individuals.

What we need is more data on these types of links. Who really does commit crimes? We will never eliminate all criminal gun use.. or rather, I should say making that our goal is unreasonable simply because it would be too oppressive for the rest of us. It would be like banning alchohol or cars because drunk drivers are dangerous.
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Re: How More Americans Carrying Firearms Would

Postby mrswdk on Sun Dec 13, 2015 4:18 pm

Metsfanmax wrote:
mrswdk wrote:The more I get educated about this stuff, the more I realize unless the United States outlaws all guns, we're not going to solve any problems by imposing more restrictions (the caveat to that is that there are probably intelligent restrictions we can use). Like I indicated in another thread, there is already a law, applicable nationwide, that prohibits felons from owning guns. That does not seem to work all that well, so what is the purpose of imposing additional restrictions, other than to increase the size and cost of federal and state governments, thereby increasing the number of people (and power of those people) in federal and state employees unions? Sorry, that last sentence got a little out of control.


I think this is an area that needs much more investigation. Even when it comes to background checks, there is sort of the assumption that we actually know who IS a
"violent criminal" who ought not to own a gun. Of course, there are plenty of obvious folks. Even the NRA leadership is happy to keep serial killers and most pschopaths away from guns. However, once you get past that, the definitions get tricky.

"Felon", for example tends to make one think of murders and such, but can include someone who, say, was arrested for blocking a nuclear power plant when they were in college or who was growing more than x amount of marihuana during times when enforcement was strict. While I am not suggesting these people ought to be nominated for "upstanding citizen" awards, is giving them a gun really going to endanger the rest of us?

On the other hand, as I already mentioned, people who abuse animals may only get a minor penalty... but might well be giving us a pretty good indication that they are truly dangerous individuals.

What we need is more data on these types of links. Who really does commit crimes? We will never eliminate all criminal gun use.. or rather, I should say making that our goal is unreasonable simply because it would be too oppressive for the rest of us. It would be like banning alchohol or cars because drunk drivers are dangerous.


I'm really not sure why people aren't getting this. It is currently illegal for criminals to purchase firearms. It is also illegal for people to sell criminals firearms. There are required background checks to ensure that criminals aren't buying firearms. It is illegal in some places (maybe everywhere) for strawman purchases, with the strawman being imprisoned.

Passing a law banning some guns, let's say all rifles (assault, single shot, whatever... I'm not a gun guy)... what does that do? Does that prevent gun deaths? It certainly will prevent gun deaths from rifles, but not from handguns or shotguns. How would you classify "50% of guns?" The only way I could possibly see that working is to limit the number of guns able to be owned in the United States. In other words, passing a law that says only 200,000 guns of any and all varieties may exist at one time in the United States.

Here is the latest example (I've bolded the relevant portions):

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Federal_A ... eapons_Ban

The Task Force on Community Preventive Services, an independent, non-federal task force, examined an assortment of firearms laws, including the AWB, and found "insufficient evidence to determine the effectiveness of any of the firearms laws reviewed for preventing violence."[25] A 2004 critical review of firearms research by a National Research Council committee said that an academic study of the assault weapon ban "did not reveal any clear impacts on gun violence outcomes." The committee noted that the study's authors said the guns were used criminally with relative rarity before the ban and that its maximum potential effect on gun violence outcomes would be very small.[26]


By the way, that law was supported by former presidents Ronald Reagan and George Bush.[/quote]
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Re: How More Americans Carrying Firearms Would

Postby tzor on Sun Dec 13, 2015 9:49 pm

PLAYER57832 wrote:Well, if that last were true, then Fort Hood would not have happened ...


The Army places strict restrictions on personal firearms carried onto Fort Hood and other bases. Military weapons are used only for training or by base security. Personal weapons bought on base are required to be secured at all times and must be registered with the provost marshal. Specialist Jerry Richard, a soldier working at the Readiness Center, said he felt this policy left the soldiers vulnerable to violent assaults: "Overseas you are ready for it. But here you can't even defend yourself." Jacob Sullum, an opponent of gun control, described the base as a "gun-free zone."


Fort Hood is not an example of a secure place. Base security is designed to keep the peace, not provide absolute security to the base, filled with military personnel who obey the commands for the place being a gun free zone because obeying superiors and regulations is what they do.

PLAYER57832 wrote: -- and we would not have had the several court house shootings we have had, either.


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Re: How More Americans Carrying Firearms Would

Postby Phatscotty on Mon Dec 14, 2015 1:55 am

PLAYER57832 wrote:
tzor wrote:I don't think we need to go into complex math on this one. Riddle me this, why do so many mass shootings take place in a gun free zone?

That's a serious question. It's not like every place is loaded with guns save a gun free zone.


Actually, it might be a serious question, but its not a true one. So many mass shootings happen in gun free zones because most places ARE gun free zones.


92% of mass shootings happen in gun-free zones. My OP basically flips to the other side of the coin, with many/most people carrying would be the complete opposite of a gun free zone. And actually, mass shooters specifically target gun-free zones. More than a few detailed such reality's in their notes and postings. Really it just comes down to common sense tho. One who has the urge to commit a mass shooting, they are going to go to places where they know they are extremely unlikely to be stopped (gun-free zones), many times until they run out of ammunition. Non-gunfree zones, where people are likely to be carrying a gun legally and for the right reasons, are zones where a mass shooter can and has many times been stopped before it could become a mass shooting.

One thing is for sure, creating more gun-free zones certainly isn't going to accomplish anything, and one has to wonder if a gun-free zone prevented anything in the first place. Since again common sense should tell us a psycho who isn't worried about the laws against murdering random innocent people most certainly isn't going to worry about the laws of gun-free zones
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