the white rose wrote:IB it seems will come under a lot of scrutiny today. the 2 overiding issues i have with him is he gave us our first antitown lynch and deliberately left the lynch to prove he was not a lyncher, the second is the blood test carried out by benga, this confirmed that indeed ib was a killer as he was seen to have blood on his hands.....but wait, where did benga get this invention from? thats right, LSU, our insane inventor, being insane none of his inventions work the way they should as so for me that clears IB.
so town for me are
TWR (of course)
benga
risky
aladdin
ib
mitch is clearly a 3p
that leaves us with 4 others. at least 2 are scum and 1 will be town, the 4th could be anything.
Mets - claims bullet bill, a minor PR, but a PR nonetheless, would he not have been a better nk for scum?
Player - who admitted to being scum, or was it red herring?
slash and catcher, not too much on these 2 will have to read through their posts to make a decision on them.
Now, anybody else care to agree or disagree with my analysis?
ATM, I'm going with:
Confermed (or neerly confermed) Town: TWR, Benga, RB
So their are seven unconfermed playas, including me, and likely tree or moor Mafia. dat's about one in evry two is Mafia, and we havent had so mutch luck unerting dem so far, so we have to tink outside teh box a littul moor, I tink. Sum thorts:
Unlike TWR, I don't see IB as cleered. Not partikly scummy, but not cleered. Dere are tree main ishues fer me: (1) Teh HS saga; (2) Teh 8-borl reed on WS; (3) Teh glases.
(1) HotShot - Teh weerdness of teh HS saga continues to bother me - it just dozent fit wit teh rest of teh game. I'm reely having trubble beleeving teh Mods just gave IB orl teh info he needed to get HS linched. It seems moor likely to me dat IB had a N0 nite ackshun, witch delivered to him teh info on HS. Orso, HS flipped 3P serviver and asylum/esylum escapee, but we don't have eny proof to bak up IB's claim dat he was a huge thret to Town who needed to be taken out ASAP. Orso orso, IB is teh only playa in teh hole game who seems to have had a post restriction forbiding him frum disclosing his full roll. And why teh post restrickshun? Wood it have changed tings mutch if IB had been able to say rite away: "I'm an aslyum gard and HS is a dangerus prisoner who needs to be taken out"? No, prob not. Orso orso orso, teh roll itself seems weerd: IB has dis wun big ting to do at teh start of teh game, and teh becums efecktively VT? Dis MITE be plorsibul, sinse we have seen other rolls dat moor or less reverted to vanilla (e.g, Storr and Benga).
(2) 8-borl - Dis was a LSU TJ invenchun and so we know dere was sumtink screwy about it. IB claims to have used it on WhatSausage, and dat teh resolt came back as Town. Wun prob is, we don't know eggsackly HOW teh invenchun screwed up. Did it reflect back on IB (i.e. similar to swetter), in witch case it cleered IB. Or did it flip teh resolt, in witch case it fingered WS. Or was it a random resolt? If it did finger WS, why? Their was nothing in his flipped roll descripshun dat screemed "anti-Town", and his use of his powers ackshually looked pro-Town - he lowered teh linch threshold on D1 to 11 votes, making it easier to get a linch (and D1 linches are genrally suposed to be pro-Town), and he gave evrywun a dubbel vote on D2 (orso looks pro-Town). On teh other hand, dese moves cood orso be seen as anti-Town, as dey wood make it eesier fer Mafia to get mislinches. But why wood a 3P care about helping Mafia at dat erly stage of teh game? And den der is teh posibility dat IB misreported teh resolt. He dident know at dat time dat LSU TJ's invenchuns were screwed up, but maybe he had extra infermashun on moor than just wun playa (i.e. not just HS), and wanted to cleer WS for his own perposes?
(3) Glases: Agin, we know teh glases resolt is screwed up becorse insane inventer. And it looks like we can rule out teh posibility dat dey reflected back on teh user. But wot we don't know is if dey gsave a resolt reflecting only teh previus nite, or a resolt going rite back to teh start of teh game. If teh former, den dey only cleer IB fer wun nite.
Orl-in-orl, dis just looks merky to me and dozent either cleer nor dam IB at dis point.
/: Main case aginst him seems to stem frum his multipul absenses frum teh game. Voting patern looks a bit scumy, as noted erlier (e.g. wozent on teh Rish linch). Use of his claimed power isent grate, but not teribul eether. I've been suspishus of him, but wen you look at it, their dozent seem to be a super-strong case aginst him. I voted him today becorse I was a bit anoyed at his latest absense witch, even if he is Town, was herting Town. However, his partisipashun level seems to be improving of late, so let's see...
Mitch: Prob 3P but we do need to consider orl teh posibilities. Mitch cood be playing a brilliant game as Mafia pretending to be a jester. Teh trubbul is dat if we want to know fer shore, we risk using a linch on a 3P at a time wen we desperately need to linch Mafia.
CM: Sumtimes seems to be voting in line with Player, as in wen their was a late wagen on me in, I tink, D5. And now he is defending Player. I waver in my opinyun of CM. I tink if Player were to flip Mafia, CM wood be a good bet fer a scum partner. Witch brings me to...
Player: Like I've sed resently, seems to be still (after neerly tree munths) playing teh noob card reel hard. It's like she is a Goldie Hawn caracter or sumtink. But if she is Mafia, maybe her scum buddies sed to her 'Yer a noob, go out and play like a noob, only moor so. Play so noobishly dat it gets anoying an stops enywun frum tinking you are Mafia.' But den, maybe she is just a Town noob playing noobishly. I just dont know enymoor.
Mets: Have been suspishus of Mets throughout teh game, fer been "too good to be true", but like IB he was on teh Rish linch an dat eesed my suspishuns a bit. Main ting aginst him atm seems to be dat he is still alive (i.e. not Nked) but as I have sed in previous posts, I dont find dat orl dat remarkabul reely. I have a sneeking suspishun he cood be MAfia playing reely well, but I agree wit TWR dat we shood give him a chanse to finger Mafia tonite.