BigBallinStalin wrote:Mr Changsha wrote:loutil wrote:Mr Changsha wrote:Yesterday I was commenting to
spazzattack on just how unlucky we had been in a certain game and just how lucky the oppostion had been..both in attack and defence. In fact, I claimed that this oppostion happened to be the worst I had ever faced that had beaten me. Further, I suggested to spazz that it must surely be quite likely that one of these guys (pink in particular) would be hit by a car, or have a tree fall on him, or something similar on the basis of having such an unbelievable run of luck in my game must mean that it must balance somewhere. Now I am not saying that I
hope pink gets hit by a car, but rather that I consider it a strong possibility.
You are personally aware of my EDF and REDF threads on our clan forum. Epic dice F*cking and Reverse epic dice f*cking. What we tend to find in this game is a simple regression to the mean. Therefor, if you get an EDF thrown against you, you are likely to put and REDF on an opponent quite soon. Let us know when you do

...
You assume the 'luck voodoo' is contrained to just within CC?
Why?
I'm quite seriously suggesting (if you believe in magic as I do) that if your rolled extrordinarily well throughout a game that you should watch out for having a large tree fall on your head. On the other hand, if one's defensive dice sucked repeatedly during a 48 hour period that there may be more chance that you will find 10 quid under the sofa.
I am quite convinced that my early-death will come about because a lunatic chinese driver will run me over while driving the wrong way down a road, sending a message on their iphone and trying to light a fag. On such days that I roll well I pay extra special attention...
Okay, think of it this way.
You have a fair coin. You flip it in the air, and it lands Heads.
You then flip it again. What will be the chance that it lands Heads?
It's 50%. That's all. Previous rolls in the dice don't influence future rolls, so there's no way they can influence other matters of uncertainty and risk in a world external to a dice game. There's no 'great balancer' in our observable world. There's only a series of outcomes and for any individual up to some point, we can say, "that person is lucky or unlucky." It's not like luck is allotted or readjusted--unless you believe in some deity.
You stick to your 'science' and I will keep my 'madness'. Don't try to inhibit my right to express my beliefs BBS.
I once watched a keen CC player (who I will refrain from naming) who felt the absolute need to scream "BIG!!!!" upon rolling the dice..every time. After a while I convinced said player to only scream when taking on a key roll, otherwise the affect of the magic would be diluted. Rolls improved (unsurprisingly) and my reputation as an oracle was set. The same player (the last time I was around) refuses to have her husband in the room when rolling the dice after I, correctly of course, identified that when he was around - or roughly within 5 metres of the pc - her dice would simply and completely collapse. He is, as I understand it, still banished from the study during CC time. I support this action completely.
I myself have various methods of improving luck (and you might happen to notice that my dice stats are +1% across the board..coincidence? I think not.) These include having a pretty girl wish me luck before key rolls, not rolling in cafes, currently rolling key moves in the kitchen within an hour of waking up, NOT being at the other end of the phone when
spazzattack is rolling, NOT being in his presence when rolling and certainly not in a cafe (the collective voodoo effect is a recipe for misery)...
So believe me I am perfectly serious when I state that if I roll up massively on a day there is more chance that I will contract a strange and disfiguring disease within 74 hours.