Conquer Club

What ARE the odds of losing with a 18 stack vs. a 12 stack and ending up 3:9 loss?

Beginning,
18v12
finish,
3v9

hmm, if it were 1v9 ending, chance of that happening would be 0.10236%, so slightly more than 1 in 1000. I guess for 3v9 it will be around 0.2%

Chance of not conquering the territory is about 1 in 34 btw.

Easy peasy 100% as it has already happened lol

blackgoblin wrote:Easy peasy 100% as it has already happened lol

Uh... no?

It's not odds if you say it's already happened. It's not going to happen every single time.

Uh ... no? You have a 3 - 9 loss so it has happened.

blackgoblin wrote:Uh ... no? You have a 3 - 9 loss so it has happened.

But it wont happen every single time, that;s the point I"M trying to make. You can't have 100% odds because something wont happen 100% of the time.

sherkaner wrote:hmm, if it were 1v9 ending, chance of that happening would be 0.10236%, so slightly more than 1 in 1000. I guess for 3v9 it will be around 0.2%

Chance of not conquering the territory is about 1 in 34 btw.

Okay thank you I was quite astounded, had it been 3v4 or something of the sort in the end I would shrugged it off, but I was truly astounded! Thank you sir!

Worse I've had is a 19v4 and got down to 1v2, but as QoH said there is no such thing as 100% so crazy shiz like that happens, but I can be pretty safe to bet that that won't happen much more often if ever again luckily. Crazy though

OK, Yeah; What he said. Lol.

13v10 finishing 3v10?

chance of loosing a 3v2 is about 0.2926, so 5 in a row would be: http://www.google.nl/search?q=0.2926^5