Conquer Club

Over 4873 rolls,my opponents have averaged 3.56,which HAS to be the worst--math geniuses,what are the odds of this? And IS anybody worse?

I don't get it. That's not bad. Is it?

If there are 6 possible rolls of equal chance,

1-2-3-4-5-6

,then 3.5 is DIRECTLY in the middle, with 3 possibilities on either side. 1, 2, and 3 on one side,
and 4, 5, and 6 on the other. In fact, you have .06 better than normal odds.

Er, right?

He means worst for him... But he doesn't have the largest pool of data to be working with, after a few hundred more games it will balance itself out. Look at my dice stats for instance, it is mostly average because of the larger pool of numbers.

You've played like 2 games.

Sorry for your miniature anus.

Wait for it.............

Yeah,I know it's not a whole lot of rolls,but I still suspect 3.56 is easily in the bottom 1% for that number. Standard deviations and that sort of statistical stuff give me a headache,so I thought maybe somebody would like to do the math. What I don't know is what my tiny anus has to do with anything...

the liquidator wrote:Over 4873 rolls,my opponents have averaged 3.56,which HAS to be the worst--math geniuses,what are the odds of this? And IS anybody worse?

thats not much rolls

where's natty?

Welcome to the forums, liquidator! Don't mind AoG. he's just yanking your chain.

Yeah the dice are random and sometimes they help you or hurt you. If your opponents roll 3.56 then that is .06 advantage they get over you. If you want to play a 1v1, I'm game anytime! (jk, but yeah I'd still play you, maybe your luck will increase)

Yup it should all average out after more games

AoG? Sexual frustration,no doubt. Besides, that's an old prison trick--I drop my pants to prove I have a normal anus & he tries to bugger me. Believe me,I'll never fall for that one again

Boler wrote:I don't get it. That's not bad. Is it?

If there are 6 possible rolls of equal chance,

1-2-3-4-5-6

,then 3.5 is DIRECTLY in the middle, with 3 possibilities on either side. 1, 2, and 3 on one side,
and 4, 5, and 6 on the other. In fact, you have .06 better than normal odds.

Er, right?

hehehe not quite but it sounded good at first glance.

Those suggesting that the number of rolls used for the average, are accurate.

What a really good dice stat would do is compare that person's average and the overall average which will just tell him which side of the overall average he's on...

but for statistical purposes, ONLY the overall average of rolls can be looked at, because with a smaller sample size, the standard deviation becomes greater than the computation.

My Overall Dice Stats have crept back into the averages luckily. I hope to see my opponent numbers now change from + to - numbers!

I find that when I am I playing my games now, I'm more conscious of how I'm rolling, since I'm curious how the data will look on my Dice Stats. Sometimes I hate to look! But not always.


--Andy

the liquidator wrote:AoG? Sexual frustration,no doubt. Besides, that's an old prison trick--I drop my pants to prove I have a normal anus & he tries to bugger me. Believe me,I'll never fall for that one again

I'm sure my cat would disagree...



















...wait, that came out wrong.

someone always gotta be in the bottom few... my dice stats are marginally unlucky - my opponent's dice are about 0.005 better than mine as opposed to 0.05 (so yours are 10 times worse), but i've rolled around 40 odd times the dice you've rolled so it could be less likely for mine to be like that than yours... not actually too sure as i can't be bothered to try to work it out or anything, though.

Overall, I'm either still negative or neutral...must get this to change.


--Andy

You know, I thought I was getting absolutely terrible dice. And, really, for the past few weeks, I have been losing way more games than winning. But, after some simple addition, I've found out that my overall battle outcomes are pretty well in my favor.

I know this is different than the average dice roll, but I personally think battle outcomes are more important than the number distribution.

I have a total of 35,609 dice rolls. 18,308 of them were won, while 17,301 of them were lost. That's over 1,000 more wins than losses over 35,000 rolls. Not too bad it seems. If I did my math right, which there is a good chance I didn't, my winning dice percentage is 51.4%.

So even though it seems like the dice suck, I guess they do actually level out eventually. I think it's just the streakiness of it that pisses people off. And I do see it, since it really does suck to lose all the time for 2 weeks straight, even if you then win all the time for 2 weeks straight after that (not that that is how it works, just an example, albeit a crappy one). Either way though, I guess this does show that it evens out.

A player with a Colonel Hat complaining about dice

a bit rich, no?

I just won 30 vs 12, 6 with 28 left over... >_>

radiojake wrote:A player with a Colonel Hat complaining about dice

a bit rich, no?

ney, its he is good when he wins and his dice were bad when he looses.

radiojake wrote:A player with a Colonel Hat complaining about dice

a bit rich, no?

Regardless of current standings, it's always a nuisance to lose many troops in a game. At least for higher ranks, we can usually attest that their complaints are genuine.

-rd

So I've been keeping an eye on my Dice Stats for the last week...but I've noticed I still can't get my overall opponents to be in the minus...drat.


--Andy