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The Improbable Always Wins....WTF?

PostPosted: Wed Jan 26, 2011 10:11 am
by MNDuke
Why do the dice seem to have no basis in reality? The improbable always wins. The dice extremes that you expect to rarely see happen all the time do and the dice you'd expect to see are no where to be found. When did the probability of winning a 5v1 change to 10%, because that's where we seem to be now. The dice are so fucked up. Fix that shit already.

Re: The Improbable Always Wins....WTF?

PostPosted: Wed Jan 26, 2011 10:13 am
by #1_stunna
lol.

Re: The Improbable Always Wins....WTF?

PostPosted: Wed Jan 26, 2011 10:27 am
by Streaker
MNDuke wrote:Why do the dice seem to have no basis in reality? The improbable always wins. The dice extremes that you expect to rarely see happen all the time do and the dice you'd expect to see are no where to be found. When did the probability of winning a 5v1 change to 10%, because that's where we seem to be now. The dice are so fucked up. Fix that shit already.


Easy. Start attacking with Improbable Odds. You'll Always Win.

Re: The Improbable Always Wins....WTF?

PostPosted: Wed Jan 26, 2011 10:58 am
by hotfire
Streaker wrote:
MNDuke wrote:Why do the dice seem to have no basis in reality? The improbable always wins. The dice extremes that you expect to rarely see happen all the time do and the dice you'd expect to see are no where to be found. When did the probability of winning a 5v1 change to 10%, because that's where we seem to be now. The dice are so fucked up. Fix that shit already.


Easy. Start attacking with Improbable Odds. You'll Always Win.


i can support this with my 3 attacking vs 5 win a while back...of course the game was already over so it didnt matter

Re: The Improbable Always Wins....WTF?

PostPosted: Wed Jan 26, 2011 11:15 am
by Master Fenrir
Well, I can never seem to kill 1's without losing 2 or 3, but it's always been that way for me, so it's nothing new. But I've also found that an extremely ballsy move will win more often than not. If I'm desperate for a 7 vs. 12 to win or something like that, it usually will. But again, it's always been like that for me.

Re: The Improbable Always Wins....WTF?

PostPosted: Wed Jan 26, 2011 11:44 am
by MNDuke
That's what I'm saying...ffs, just attacked an 11v2 and went 0-6...that the hell is that shit? And then I'll take a turn drop 6 guys and kill two 2 stacks, a 3 stack and take another 2 off a 3 stack and lose only 1 man. :lol: God this site is bullshit.

Re: The Improbable Always Wins....WTF?

PostPosted: Wed Jan 26, 2011 12:10 pm
by jimboston
MNDuke wrote:Why do the dice seem to have no basis in reality? The improbable always wins. The dice extremes that you expect to rarely see happen all the time do and the dice you'd expect to see are no where to be found. When did the probability of winning a 5v1 change to 10%, because that's where we seem to be now. The dice are so fucked up. Fix that shit already.


Yeah... f*ck that shit.

Dice-Bitch Thread Number 1237; Star Date 01.26.2011

Re: The Improbable Always Wins....WTF?

PostPosted: Wed Jan 26, 2011 12:11 pm
by AndyDufresne
jimboston wrote:
MNDuke wrote:Why do the dice seem to have no basis in reality? The improbable always wins. The dice extremes that you expect to rarely see happen all the time do and the dice you'd expect to see are no where to be found. When did the probability of winning a 5v1 change to 10%, because that's where we seem to be now. The dice are so fucked up. Fix that shit already.


Yeah... f*ck that shit.

Dice-Bitch Thread Number 1237; Star Date 01.26.2011

Where everyone has gone before.


--Andy

Re: The Improbable Always Wins....WTF?

PostPosted: Wed Jan 26, 2011 1:00 pm
by MNDuke
AndyDufresne wrote:
jimboston wrote:
MNDuke wrote:Why do the dice seem to have no basis in reality? The improbable always wins. The dice extremes that you expect to rarely see happen all the time do and the dice you'd expect to see are no where to be found. When did the probability of winning a 5v1 change to 10%, because that's where we seem to be now. The dice are so fucked up. Fix that shit already.


Yeah... f*ck that shit.

Dice-Bitch Thread Number 1237; Star Date 01.26.2011

Where everyone has gone before.


--Andy


The almost clever monkey chimes in yet again. So nice of you to always be for such an obviously broke system...why do I get the succinct feeling that you are a former member of the Bush administration?

Re: The Improbable Always Wins....WTF?

PostPosted: Wed Jan 26, 2011 1:57 pm
by Gold Knight
Master Fenrir wrote:Well, I can never seem to kill 1's without losing 2 or 3, but it's always been that way for me, so it's nothing new. But I've also found that an extremely ballsy move will win more often than not. If I'm desperate for a 7 vs. 12 to win or something like that, it usually will. But again, it's always been like that for me.


QFT, few days ago lost 28v4, 29v13, and 13v3 in consecutive turns, only to pull out like a 9v20 with 6 leftover in the next. Way its always been, just go with the flow... ;)

Re: The Improbable Always Wins....WTF?

PostPosted: Wed Jan 26, 2011 2:08 pm
by Blitzaholic
for some reason I been struggling against single armies of late as well.

the other day I won 118 vs 135 and was pretty happy with 4 leftover. :D

in another game I lost 11 vs 1, losing 8 in a row and had to stop. :roll:

Re: The Improbable Always Wins....WTF?

PostPosted: Wed Jan 26, 2011 3:56 pm
by jimboston
Blitzaholic wrote:for some reason I been struggling against single armies of late as well.

the other day I won 118 vs 135 and was pretty happy with 4 leftover. :D

in another game I lost 11 vs 1, losing 8 in a row and had to stop. :roll:



11 vs 1 is bad... but not completely ridiculous

winning 118 vs 135 is somewhat reasonable

Re: The Improbable Always Wins....WTF?

PostPosted: Wed Jan 26, 2011 4:16 pm
by sherkaner
118 vs 135 is around 50% chance of winning (52.52% even), not really lucky.

Re: The Improbable Always Wins....WTF?

PostPosted: Wed Jan 26, 2011 4:17 pm
by MNDuke
jimboston wrote:
Blitzaholic wrote:for some reason I been struggling against single armies of late as well.

the other day I won 118 vs 135 and was pretty happy with 4 leftover. :D

in another game I lost 11 vs 1, losing 8 in a row and had to stop. :roll:



11 vs 1 is bad... but not completely ridiculous

winning 118 vs 135 is somewhat reasonable


11 v 1 = rolling 3 attacking dice to 1 def
10 v 1 = rolling 3 attacking dice to 1 def
9 v 1 = rolling 3 attacking dice to 1 def
8 v 1 = rolling 3 attacking dice to 1 def
7 v 1 = rolling 3 attacking dice to 1 def
6 v 1 = rolling 3 attacking dice to 1 def
5 v 1 = rolling 3 attacking dice to 1 def
4 v 1 = rolling 3 attacking dice to 1 def

That means out of 24 rolls of the dice he was unable to defeat 1 dice 8 times consecutively. Not sure what planet you are from, but that seems highly improbable to me.

Re: The Improbable Always Wins....WTF?

PostPosted: Wed Jan 26, 2011 4:51 pm
by AndyDufresne
MNDuke wrote:
AndyDufresne wrote:
jimboston wrote:
MNDuke wrote:Why do the dice seem to have no basis in reality? The improbable always wins. The dice extremes that you expect to rarely see happen all the time do and the dice you'd expect to see are no where to be found. When did the probability of winning a 5v1 change to 10%, because that's where we seem to be now. The dice are so fucked up. Fix that shit already.


Yeah... f*ck that shit.

Dice-Bitch Thread Number 1237; Star Date 01.26.2011

Where everyone has gone before.


--Andy


The almost clever monkey chimes in yet again. So nice of you to always be for such an obviously broke system...why do I get the succinct feeling that you are a former member of the Bush administration?


Little known fact, I'm actually Karl Rove. They use to call me the Land Rover, since I roam around sputtering my exhaust of trite cliches/talking points.

=====================

I just had an improbable win. I'm waiting for my improbable loss now, as the system must now commence the mandatory dice-failure.


--Andy

Re: The Improbable Always Wins....WTF?

PostPosted: Wed Jan 26, 2011 5:00 pm
by TheForgivenOne
Blitzaholic wrote:
in another game I lost 11 vs 1, losing 8 in a row and had to stop. :roll:


I've done this in Real Life and on here. Except I did the killing in Real life, and was the poor old victim on here :cry: I will cry a river for someone right now if they ask.

Re: The Improbable Always Wins....WTF?

PostPosted: Wed Jan 26, 2011 5:09 pm
by Night Strike
AndyDufresne wrote:
jimboston wrote:Dice-Bitch Thread Number 1237; Star Date 01.26.2011

Where everyone has gone before.


ROFLMAO!!!!!! To both comments.

Re: The Improbable Always Wins....WTF?

PostPosted: Wed Jan 26, 2011 7:02 pm
by Woodruff
MNDuke wrote:Why do the dice seem to have no basis in reality? The improbable always wins. The dice extremes that you expect to rarely see happen all the time do and the dice you'd expect to see are no where to be found. When did the probability of winning a 5v1 change to 10%, because that's where we seem to be now. The dice are so fucked up. Fix that shit already.


Why ARE you still here? I'm not trying to drive you off...I simply do not understand why someone would frequent a business that they are so clearly and so consistently angered and disgusted by. It'd almost certainly help your blood pressure if you left.

Re: The Improbable Always Wins....WTF?

PostPosted: Wed Jan 26, 2011 11:05 pm
by MNDuke
Woodruff wrote:
MNDuke wrote:Why do the dice seem to have no basis in reality? The improbable always wins. The dice extremes that you expect to rarely see happen all the time do and the dice you'd expect to see are no where to be found. When did the probability of winning a 5v1 change to 10%, because that's where we seem to be now. The dice are so fucked up. Fix that shit already.


Why ARE you still here? I'm not trying to drive you off...I simply do not understand why someone would frequent a business that they are so clearly and so consistently angered and disgusted by. It'd almost certainly help your blood pressure if you left.


I knew there was a reason why I had you foed. Thanks for reminding me. You don't have to read these threads. Next time simply ignore them and move on. Pretend they don't exist. As for why I am still here...I have already paid for membership. It's not like I am paying for each time I log in. If I bought a year's worth of BigMacs and then they decided to change it to 1 patty instead of 2, I would still eat them, but would bitch that they aren't as good as before. DUH! I plan on running out the rest of my membership at which time I will not renew. Until then, I intend on championing for the dice to be fixed. You don't have to like that, but you sure as hell can shut up if you don't. Please go wonder back off into the ranks of the annoying where you so truly belong. There's probably a C&A thread you can chime in on.

Re: The Improbable Always Wins....WTF?

PostPosted: Wed Jan 26, 2011 11:29 pm
by Woodruff
MNDuke wrote:
Woodruff wrote:
MNDuke wrote:Why do the dice seem to have no basis in reality? The improbable always wins. The dice extremes that you expect to rarely see happen all the time do and the dice you'd expect to see are no where to be found. When did the probability of winning a 5v1 change to 10%, because that's where we seem to be now. The dice are so fucked up. Fix that shit already.


Why ARE you still here? I'm not trying to drive you off...I simply do not understand why someone would frequent a business that they are so clearly and so consistently angered and disgusted by. It'd almost certainly help your blood pressure if you left.


I knew there was a reason why I had you foed. Thanks for reminding me.


You foe someone for asking you relevant and critical questions? You seriously need some perspective, dude.

MNDuke wrote:You don't have to read these threads. Next time simply ignore them and move on. Pretend they don't exist.


Why would I want to do that? I'm not the one angered here.

MNDuke wrote:As for why I am still here...I have already paid for membership. It's not like I am paying for each time I log in. If I bought a year's worth of BigMacs and then they decided to change it to 1 patty instead of 2, I would still eat them, but would bitch that they aren't as good as before. DUH! I plan on running out the rest of my membership at which time I will not renew. Until then, I intend on championing for the dice to be fixed. You don't have to like that, but you sure as hell can shut up if you don't. Please go wonder back off into the ranks of the annoying where you so truly belong. There's probably a C&A thread you can chime in on.


You seem very angry. You should work on that. Find some perspective - seriously.

Re: The Improbable Always Wins....WTF?

PostPosted: Wed Jan 26, 2011 11:34 pm
by TheForgivenOne
Woodruff wrote:
MNDuke wrote:Why do the dice seem to have no basis in reality? The improbable always wins. The dice extremes that you expect to rarely see happen all the time do and the dice you'd expect to see are no where to be found. When did the probability of winning a 5v1 change to 10%, because that's where we seem to be now. The dice are so fucked up. Fix that shit already.


Why ARE you still here? I'm not trying to drive you off...I simply do not understand why someone would frequent a business that they are so clearly and so consistently angered and disgusted by. It'd almost certainly help your blood pressure if you left.


Maybe he really enjoys being beaten to a bloody pulp by the dice?

Re: The Improbable Always Wins....WTF?

PostPosted: Wed Jan 26, 2011 11:46 pm
by MNDuke
Woodruff wrote:
MNDuke wrote:
Woodruff wrote:
MNDuke wrote:Why do the dice seem to have no basis in reality? The improbable always wins. The dice extremes that you expect to rarely see happen all the time do and the dice you'd expect to see are no where to be found. When did the probability of winning a 5v1 change to 10%, because that's where we seem to be now. The dice are so fucked up. Fix that shit already.


Why ARE you still here? I'm not trying to drive you off...I simply do not understand why someone would frequent a business that they are so clearly and so consistently angered and disgusted by. It'd almost certainly help your blood pressure if you left.


I knew there was a reason why I had you foed. Thanks for reminding me.


You foe someone for asking you relevant and critical questions? You seriously need some perspective, dude.

MNDuke wrote:You don't have to read these threads. Next time simply ignore them and move on. Pretend they don't exist.


Why would I want to do that? I'm not the one angered here.

MNDuke wrote:As for why I am still here...I have already paid for membership. It's not like I am paying for each time I log in. If I bought a year's worth of BigMacs and then they decided to change it to 1 patty instead of 2, I would still eat them, but would bitch that they aren't as good as before. DUH! I plan on running out the rest of my membership at which time I will not renew. Until then, I intend on championing for the dice to be fixed. You don't have to like that, but you sure as hell can shut up if you don't. Please go wonder back off into the ranks of the annoying where you so truly belong. There's probably a C&A thread you can chime in on.


You seem very angry. You should work on that. Find some perspective - seriously.



Could you be more passive aggressive? Ugh. I hate to break it to you, but Vulcans aren't real and you aren't one of them as much as you pretend you don't have emotions. My perspective is clear. It seems it is you who need perspective. Passively aggressively attacking me is not asking relevant and critical questions. Now please, go play with Kirk action figures.

Re: The Improbable Always Wins....WTF?

PostPosted: Thu Jan 27, 2011 5:45 pm
by Fruitcake
Good thread....sod the dice, just keep tearing chunks out of each other...makes for great spectator sport.

Re: The Improbable Always Wins....WTF?

PostPosted: Thu Jan 27, 2011 5:53 pm
by elfish_lad
Fruitcake wrote:Good thread....sod the dice, just keep tearing chunks out of each other...makes for great spectator sport.


Heh.

Nominates response as "Best fora post of 2011" which, regrettably, isn't all that much of an accolade.

Dice? Schmice. I'm here for the women.

E.

Re: The Improbable Always Wins....WTF?

PostPosted: Thu Jan 27, 2011 7:25 pm
by L M S
Not only the improbable but, the guy that (for example) has no idea he's playing an assassin game can tear through the map like it's nothing, only to lose cause he took out the wrong target in the process or weakened him enough to let his real assassin get him easily. Meanwhile, you can't even get a card bombarding singles.