Conquer Club

I lost 20 men and won 2 in one turn, this has happened twice to me on this site.

I have been playing Risk for 30+ years and never, ever lost that bad.

Has anyone lost worse than that?

and how is that possible?

I would imagine that you might get hit by lightening 3 times before your dice roll like that.

I guess I better stay in when its raining.

those rolls have been happening to me for like a week

Well first of all, I'm sorry to hear about the bad beat. It must be a terrible sight when something like that happens. I have seen a bit worse than that (15v1 losing) but its still pretty bad.

As for the comment, "how is that possible?"....well, the rule of large numbers my friend!

Let's assume that you lost every attack, so your defender still had 2 men left at the end. The probability of that happening would be 4.6*10^-4%. Not very good of course, though the actual odds of losing the attack outright are a little higher because you could also defeat one of his men but then lose to the rest.

Anyway, Andy has posted that CC goes through 125,000 lines of dice rolls per day, though that number was from november. Of course we must go through even more than that now because the site is ever growing, but how much more I can't say....so I'll use 125,000.

The math from there is simple- 4.6*10^-4*125000 = 57

That means that if every attack made on the site was 3v2 dice, this would occur 57 times a day. Of course people have many different types of attacks as well, and they won't often be in the 20v2 situation you described. But if they were, despite the small odds of it happening, it would happen multiple times a day simply because so many dice are thrown around this site.

It's just a shame that it had to be you on that occasion!


Edit- Sorry, I misread your post based on the title. You lost 20 men and defeated two, not lost 20 men and defeated 0 because you were facing 2. Well, that just makes the chances of it happening a bit higher!

*Awaits maniac to show up and make corrections...*

sully800 wrote:It's just a shame that it had to be you on that occasion!


Edit- Sorry, I misread your post based on the title. You lost 20 men and defeated two, not lost 20 men and defeated 0 because you were facing 2. Well, that just makes the chances of it happening a bit higher!

*Awaits maniac to show up and make corrections...*

To add insult to injury, I didnt get a card because I couldnt beat all 3 men. LOL

In those situations I find it helpful to slam your fist on your desk really hard, and yell f*ck really loud.

millej11 wrote:In those situations I find it helpful to slam your fist on your desk really hard, and yell f*ck really loud.

I concur and often use this tactic.

millej11 wrote:In those situations I find it helpful to slam your fist on your desk really hard, and yell f*ck really loud.

I am also a follower of that tried and tested tactic

Oh yes and occasionally bash head into keyboard aswell...

Dariune wrote:

millej11 wrote:In those situations I find it helpful to slam your fist on your desk really hard, and yell f*ck really loud.

I am also a follower of that tried and tested tactic

Don't shout it very loud, because you can get a negative feedback for that! Like the ones which I've got.

My worst ever was 29 to 2...I lost all. I almost slipped into depression...

ugh....that's just downright painful....nuff said!

Everytime i get wank dice such as that, it put another £5 into my money jar, im saving up to buy a plane ticket, lack will be getting a visit from me shorty,

Ronaldinho wrote:Everytime i get wank dice such as that, it put another £5 into my money jar, im saving up to buy a plane ticket, lack will be getting a visit from me shorty,

FIVE pounds everytime!?! That must be one heavy jar!

Anarkistsdream wrote:

Ronaldinho wrote:Everytime i get wank dice such as that, it put another £5 into my money jar, im saving up to buy a plane ticket, lack will be getting a visit from me shorty,

FIVE pounds everytime!?! That must be one heavy jar!

yeah paper notes, not 1p's n shit lmfao!!

Ronaldinho wrote:

Anarkistsdream wrote:

Ronaldinho wrote:Everytime i get wank dice such as that, it put another £5 into my money jar, im saving up to buy a plane ticket, lack will be getting a visit from me shorty,

FIVE pounds everytime!?! That must be one heavy jar!

yeah paper notes, not 1p's n shit lmfao!!

I was making a joke about how the UK uses pounds and not dollars... I guess it either a) wasn't that funny, or b) wasn't that funny..... *sigh*

Anarkistsdream wrote:

Ronaldinho wrote:

Anarkistsdream wrote:

Ronaldinho wrote:Everytime i get wank dice such as that, it put another £5 into my money jar, im saving up to buy a plane ticket, lack will be getting a visit from me shorty,

FIVE pounds everytime!?! That must be one heavy jar!

yeah paper notes, not 1p's n shit lmfao!!

I was making a joke about how the UK uses pounds and not dollars... I guess it either a) wasn't that funny, or b) wasn't that funny..... *sigh*

NO! sorry but it was not funny! LOL

Eh... I tried.

Dont worry probs just me, dident really process that through my head at 1st

....damm i am soo slow!!! i get it now

SargentFluffy wrote:My worst ever was 29 to 2...I lost all. I almost slipped into depression...

Kind of makes you wish for something extra on your side due to having overwhelming numbers of armies, doesn't it?

I think all CC users are well aware the Dice on this site aren't as fair for the attackers as they are in real life, but they are as unfair for everyone, so be it.

SargentFluffy wrote:My worst ever was 29 to 2...I lost all. I almost slipped into depression...

Damn.

millej11 wrote:In those situations I find it helpful to slam your fist on your desk really hard, and yell f*ck really loud.

This is suprisingly helpful.

sully800 wrote:Well first of all, I'm sorry to hear about the bad beat. It must be a terrible sight when something like that happens. I have seen a bit worse than that (15v1 losing) but its still pretty bad.

As for the comment, "how is that possible?"....well, the rule of large numbers my friend!

Let's assume that you lost every attack, so your defender still had 2 men left at the end. The probability of that happening would be 4.6*10^-4%. Not very good of course, though the actual odds of losing the attack outright are a little higher because you could also defeat one of his men but then lose to the rest.

Anyway, Andy has posted that CC goes through 125,000 lines of dice rolls per day, though that number was from november. Of course we must go through even more than that now because the site is ever growing, but how much more I can't say....so I'll use 125,000.

The math from there is simple- 4.6*10^-4*125000 = 57

That means that if every attack made on the site was 3v2 dice, this would occur 57 times a day. Of course people have many different types of attacks as well, and they won't often be in the 20v2 situation you described. But if they were, despite the small odds of it happening, it would happen multiple times a day simply because so many dice are thrown around this site.

It's just a shame that it had to be you on that occasion!


Edit- Sorry, I misread your post based on the title. You lost 20 men and defeated two, not lost 20 men and defeated 0 because you were facing 2. Well, that just makes the chances of it happening a bit higher!

*Awaits maniac to show up and make corrections...*

Well the chances of going from a 20 v 2 down to a 2 v 2 is .2926 ^ 9 which is 1.6 ^ -5 or about 1 in every 62500. And with all the games on this site it wouldn't take long to go through 62500 of the 20 v 2 attacks. And since yours was losing 20 and killing 2, its even more likely to happen.

This is nothing compared to the guy that lost like a 24 v 1. The chances of that are so ridiculous that it should never happen again in our lifetimes.

sully800 wrote:*Awaits maniac to show up and make corrections...*

and ha came! wow this is all very interesting and everyone should concider this in there attacks. well when they play online atleast... since i seem to lose dice rolls on CC alot, ive noticed that in the real board game i am way more cautious than i used to be. i dont know if thats a good thing or not...