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1756117131 Conquer Club • View topic - Which is better: to defend or to attack?
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Which is better: to defend or to attack?

PostPosted: Sun Jan 07, 2007 6:46 am
by geegel
When there is a 3 vs 2 dice situation (the most common roll), which are the odds for:

1) attacker losing 2 dice
2) attacker losing 1 dice and the defender losing one dice
3) defender losing 2 dice.

I'm interested more in statistical calculations, rather than strange fairytales.

Thank you all in advance.

Best regards, George

PostPosted: Sun Jan 07, 2007 6:59 am
by joeyjordison
google it. search risk dice probabilities or somethin

PostPosted: Sun Jan 07, 2007 6:59 am
by joeyjordison
and then search for CC risk dice probabilities :P

PostPosted: Sun Jan 07, 2007 7:04 am
by Dlakavi
37.17% defender loses 2
33.58% both lose 1
29.26% attacker loses 2

PostPosted: Sun Jan 07, 2007 8:54 am
by Great Pretender
In my experience on CC (which isn't that much) is that it is better to attack than to defend. Like a game of chess, take or be taken

PostPosted: Sun Jan 07, 2007 4:55 pm
by Nous-irons
If you're fighting 1 v 1, attack.

But you see, most likely there's some politics involved. What you don't want to do is to weaken both yourself and another opponent, only for a third party to benefit.

PostPosted: Sun Jan 07, 2007 5:21 pm
by RobinJ
It really does just depend on the overall game situation.

Great Pretender wrote:In my experience on CC (which isn't that much) is that it is better to attack than to defend. Like a game of chess, take or be taken


How good are you at chess? I've learned from hard experience that in both Risk and Chess, attacking too much often fucks the game for you. :wink:

P.S. I believe there is another thread about this somewhere :)

PostPosted: Sun Jan 07, 2007 8:23 pm
by wcaclimbing
i vote for wikipedia

PostPosted: Sun Jan 07, 2007 8:49 pm
by Great Pretender
RobinJ wrote:How good are you at chess? I've learned from hard experience that in both Risk and Chess, attacking too much often fucks the game for you. :wink:

P.S. I believe there is another thread about this somewhere :)


If i'm going down, i'm taking someone else with me :)

PostPosted: Mon Jan 08, 2007 1:18 am
by sPaMgLiSh
Well i've only played a few games and the logic that was obvios was, do i want to roll 2 dice defending or 3 attacking? hmmm... of course i thought that dreamfilled 3rd dice would guarentee victory!
Having pretty much lost every game i've played... i am forced to reconsider that, it's 3 dice where each dice might as well have a -1 added onto it. Vs 2 dice which if you roll a 6 guarentee's a kill... so... i'm guessing if you only have 3 armies, defending FTW, attacking 2v2dice with roll results against you can't be good.

PostPosted: Mon Jan 08, 2007 1:52 am
by Nobunaga
... Does Lack still use Random.org? Just wondering. My dice are fine.

PostPosted: Mon Jan 08, 2007 7:58 pm
by Fantius
Nobunaga wrote:... Does Lack still use Random.org? Just wondering. My dice are fine.


Why would he do that? There are plenty of excellent random number generators out there that are several orders of magnitude faster than hitting some external site.

PostPosted: Fri Jan 12, 2007 5:59 pm
by sPaMgLiSh
so now it'd be interesting to see the stats for 3attakcer dice vs 1 defender dice, some guy accused me of going easy on another guy because i leave 2 in some countries i don't wanna lose.... Bangbus cough cough