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Dice analyzer - statistics

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Postby suggs on Fri Aug 03, 2007 10:46 am

just out of friendly interest, where do you get the "ideal stats" from?
nice one for doing this.
suggs
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Postby DiM on Fri Aug 03, 2007 11:32 am

suggs wrote:just out of friendly interest, where do you get the "ideal stats" from?
nice one for doing this.
suggs


dice analyzer utility for greasemonkey
“In the beginning God said, the four-dimensional divergence of an antisymmetric, second rank tensor equals zero, and there was light, and it was good. And on the seventh day he rested.”- Michio Kaku
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Postby Stopper on Sat Aug 04, 2007 8:47 am

Hmm. I bumped this for a joke, but obviously this has piqued at least one person's interest in the dice analyzer. Having a picture of it seems to be a good advertisement for it.

Maybe if this thread was kept alive, there'd be fewer complaints about the dice, as more people would get the analyzer, and be less inclined to complain when they see their results.

'Course, I'm probably underestimating the ability of people to find cause for complaint, no matter how obscure and wacky...
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Postby nicasro on Sun Aug 05, 2007 2:00 am

Code: Select all
Attacker dice distribution                          Defender dice distribution
1s   █████████████████████████ 6004 / 35692 (16.82%)   █████████████████████████ 2941 / 17528 (16.78%)
2s   █████████████████████████ 5859 / 35692 (16.42%)   █████████████████████████ 2911 / 17528 (16.61%)
3s   █████████████████████████ 5907 / 35692 (16.55%)   █████████████████████████ 2962 / 17528 (16.9%)
4s   █████████████████████████ 6052 / 35692 (16.96%)   █████████████████████████ 2845 / 17528 (16.23%)
5s   █████████████████████████ 6007 / 35692 (16.83%)   █████████████████████████ 2907 / 17528 (16.58%)
6s   █████████████████████████ 5863 / 35692 (16.43%)   █████████████████████████ 2962 / 17528 (16.9%)

Battle Outcomes             Actual Stats                Ideal Stats
3v2  1995 / 1854 / 1587    (36.7% / 34.11% / 29.19%)   (37.17% / 33.58% / 29.26%)
3v1  4144 / 2125           (66.1% / 33.9%)             (65.97% / 34.03%)
2v2  7 / 16 / 16           (17.95% / 41.03% / 41.03%)  (22.76% / 32.41% / 44.83%)
2v1  114 / 88              (56.44% / 43.56%)           (57.87% / 42.13%)
1v2  2 / 10                (16.67% / 83.33%)           (25.46% / 74.54%)
1v1  38 / 45               (45.78% / 54.22%)           (41.67% / 58.33%)

Overall stats
Attacker threw 35692 dice.
Defender threw 17528 dice.
Wins / Ties / Loses        6300 / 1870 / 3871


I had been hoping my 3v2 distribution would get closer to normal distribution as I play more games and the law of large numbers come into play, but it's actually been slowly moving away from ideal stats. Ie. In 3v2 lately I've been taking a hammering.

Just having a whinge.

Anybody else have worse dice than that for that amount of dice thrown?
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Postby Soujiro on Sun Aug 05, 2007 2:58 am

Image


Not really worse, but that doesn't make it anyway good either. I haven't thrown as much as you have either. :p
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Postby borox0 on Mon Aug 06, 2007 12:15 am

uhh, whats the point?
I'm pretty sure there's a lot more to life than being really, really, ridiculously good looking. And I plan on finding out what that is.
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ideal statistics

Postby 1afay3tt3 on Wed Aug 08, 2007 12:34 am

although many people already have the ideal percentages for the dice, does anyone know how to calculate these statistics? i'm one of those people who can't accept knowing an answer without also knowing how to come up with that answer.
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