Kaskavel wrote:Three player endgame. Things are calm, big stacks watching each other on boarders, no spoils or flat rate.
A player loses 2 turns in a row. If he loses a third one, then the one who attacks first will win. If an early attack occurs, the third player may come back and win.
What do you do, assuming that the player's history does not give anything special or it is a speed game?
in the situation that there is no other info availiable (which almost always there is, and quickly too, if only you know how to look for it)
normally i would chose the attack over the defend.. however i would set up the defense so the endrun has to be desicive. then i would make my call.
i know i would feel very screwed if the 3th player would come back... heated feelings.
the options being, i attack or not, introduces the actions of the 2nd party AND the 3th party. if i do not attack, but the 2nd does, then he wins... if they second attacks, but the 3 gets active, then the 3th wins. nobody attacking would favor the first player after the 3th. therefor i ammend the original proposal to specify and state that you are just before the missing 3 turns in a row player.
i'd feel worse if i did nothing out of fear and thus lost the game. i prefer to keep it to my own calls failing, thus in this case i'd attack.