Odds

by **Swimmerdude99** on Wed Aug 31, 2011 1:41 pm

What ARE the odds of losing with a 18 stack vs. a 12 stack and ending up 3:9 loss?

Beginning,
18v12
finish,
3v9

by **sherkaner** on Wed Aug 31, 2011 1:56 pm

hmm, if it were 1v9 ending, chance of that happening would be 0.10236%, so slightly more than 1 in 1000. I guess for 3v9 it will be around 0.2%

Chance of not conquering the territory is about 1 in 34 btw.

by **blackgoblin** on Wed Aug 31, 2011 2:30 pm

Easy peasy 100% as it has already happened lol

by **QoH** on Wed Aug 31, 2011 3:36 pm

blackgoblin wrote:Easy peasy 100% as it has already happened lol

Uh... no?

It's not odds if you say it's already happened. It's not going to happen every single time.

by **blackgoblin** on Wed Aug 31, 2011 5:26 pm

Uh ... no? You have a 3 - 9 loss so it has happened.

by **QoH** on Wed Aug 31, 2011 6:04 pm

blackgoblin wrote:Uh ... no? You have a 3 - 9 loss so it has happened.

But it wont happen every single time, that;s the point I"M trying to make. You can't have 100% odds because something wont happen 100% of the time.

by **Swimmerdude99** on Wed Aug 31, 2011 6:46 pm

sherkaner wrote:hmm, if it were 1v9 ending, chance of that happening would be 0.10236%, so slightly more than 1 in 1000. I guess for 3v9 it will be around 0.2%

Chance of not conquering the territory is about 1 in 34 btw.

Okay thank you

I was quite astounded, had it been 3v4 or something of the sort in the end I would shrugged it off, but I was truly astounded! Thank you sir!

by **BYUwonder11** on Mon Sep 05, 2011 5:43 pm

Worse I've had is a 19v4 and got down to 1v2, but as QoH said there is no such thing as 100% so crazy shiz like that happens, but I can be pretty safe to bet that that won't happen much more often if ever again luckily. Crazy though